Tools
Prediction published on Dec 2, 2025 9:01 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Dec 2, 2025 9:01 PM
On Thursday, December 4, Vitesse and De Graafschap meet again in the Keuken Kampioen Divisie for a rescheduled fixture from the fourth round. It has been a busy week for the Arnhem side, who were also in action on Monday. Despite starting the season with a heavy handicap of -12 points, Vitesse have shown resilience and are slowly climbing the table. Their opponents, De Graafschap, are enjoying a strong campaign and currently sit in fifth place, just a few points away from the promotion zone. A win here could even lift them into the top three, adding extra motivation for the visitors.
Vitesse’s season has been a rollercoaster. After beginning with a significant points deduction, they have managed to collect 10 points so far, placing them 20th in the standings. Their recent results show inconsistency but also glimpses of improvement. The team lost 2-0 away to Jong Ajax earlier this week, a setback that returned them to the bottom of the table. Before that, they earned a 3-1 win over Jong PSV and a 1-1 draw against FC Dordrecht. However, heavy defeats like the 0-4 loss to SC Cambuur still highlight defensive vulnerabilities.
Across their last five matches, Vitesse have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, they have scored and conceded at an identical rate of 1.8 goals per match. Their home performances have been lively, with Over 0.5 goals at half time in 16 consecutive home games and Over 1.5 total goals in their last 10 home fixtures. This trend suggests that matches involving Vitesse rarely lack action, even if results have not always gone their way.
Historically, Vitesse have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning three of the last five head-to-head meetings against De Graafschap. Their most recent encounter ended in a 2-0 victory earlier this year, showing that they can compete effectively when playing at their best. However, maintaining consistency remains their biggest challenge in the fight to climb out of the relegation zone.
De Graafschap arrive in Arnhem in excellent form. The team from Doetinchem have won four of their last five matches, including a convincing 2-0 home victory over FC Eindhoven last weekend. Their only recent setback came in a narrow 3-2 defeat to league leaders ADO Den Haag. With 28 points from 17 games, De Graafschap are firmly in the promotion race and could move up to third place with another win.
Offensively, they have been impressive, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match in their last five outings. Over the season, their averages stand at 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Their attacking consistency is reflected in the fact that Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 15 matches, while they have also found the net in nearly every away fixture. However, their defense remains a concern, as they have conceded at least one goal in their last 14 away games.
De Graafschap’s matches tend to be open and entertaining, with Over 9.5 corners in their last 10 games and Over 8.5 corners in 23 of their last 25. They have also been strong starters, leading at half time in their last four Eerste Divisie matches. This attacking momentum, combined with their ability to score in both halves, makes them a dangerous opponent for any side in the division.
This clash brings together two teams with contrasting trajectories. Vitesse are fighting to escape the bottom of the table, while De Graafschap are pushing for promotion. The home side will rely on their attacking energy at the GelreDome, where they often start games strongly. Their ability to score early could be crucial, especially given their record of winning at half time in nine of their last 14 home matches.
De Graafschap, on the other hand, have shown remarkable consistency and attacking flair. Their recent run of form suggests they will approach this game with confidence, looking to exploit Vitesse’s defensive lapses. Still, their tendency to concede away from home could leave them vulnerable if Vitesse manage to press high and create chances early on. Given both teams’ attacking records and the frequency of goals in their recent fixtures, this encounter promises to be lively and competitive from start to finish.
Historically, matches between these two sides have produced goals, with an average of 3.8 total goals across their last five meetings. Both teams have scored in most of those encounters, and with their current form, another high-scoring game seems likely. Vitesse will be eager to use home advantage to regain momentum, while De Graafschap aim to continue their impressive run and strengthen their position near the top of the table.
Vitesse vs De Graafschap prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vitesse
De Graafschap
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
4
6
2
8
3.5
6
4
4
6
4.5
7
3
7
3