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Prediction published on Feb 25, 2026 9:09 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Feb 25, 2026 9:09 PM
The upcoming Eerste Divisie round promises plenty of excitement as all twenty teams take the field simultaneously on Friday. Among the fixtures, the clash between Vitesse and Jong AZ stands out as a key battle between two sides struggling in the lower half of the table. Both teams have endured inconsistent seasons, and this encounter could prove crucial in their fight to climb away from the bottom positions.
Vitesse began the season with a significant handicap of -12 points, which has heavily influenced their current position. They sit 19th in the Eerste Divisie with 24 points from 28 matches. Despite some encouraging performances, consistency remains an issue. In their last five games, they have recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their only recent victory came against TOP Oss (1-2), while defeats to FC Dordrecht (1-2) and Willem II (3-0) highlighted their defensive fragility.
Across the season, Vitesse’s record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Matches involving Vitesse tend to be open and entertaining: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 33 of their last 35 fixtures, and Over 0.5 goals at half time have occurred in 31 of their last 34 league matches. Interestingly, they have also led at half time in 6 of their last 10 home games, showing that they often start strongly in front of their supporters.
Jong AZ are also enduring a challenging campaign, currently sitting 15th in the table with 30 points. However, their recent form has been slightly more positive than their opponents’. In their last five matches, they have achieved two wins, one draw, and two defeats, scoring an impressive 2.6 goals per game while conceding 1.8. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against FC Den Bosch, following victories over ADO Den Haag (1-4) and TOP Oss (0-3).
Over the course of the season, Jong AZ’s record reads 9 wins, 3 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Their games are consistently high-scoring: Over 2.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 11 league fixtures, and the same trend applies to their last nine away matches. Furthermore, Over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in 27 of their last 30 games, underlining their attacking intent from the start. Both teams have also found the net in the second half in 10 of their last 15 league matches, suggesting that late drama is common when Jong AZ play.
When these two sides met earlier in the season, Vitesse claimed a convincing 4-0 victory on September 12, 2025. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with one win each and one draw, though Jong AZ have generally scored more goals across those encounters. Both teams have shown attacking potential but also defensive vulnerabilities, which could make this match another high-scoring affair.
Given their recent performances, both teams are likely to approach this fixture with caution but also with the awareness that three points could significantly improve their league standing. Vitesse will rely on their home advantage and early-game energy, while Jong AZ’s attacking rhythm and ability to score away from home could make them dangerous opponents. The statistics strongly suggest that goals are to be expected, particularly in the second half, where both sides tend to open up.
According to the latest data, the probabilities for this match are as follows: Vitesse win (1) 43%, Draw (X) 22%, and Jong AZ win (2) 34%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes market stands at 66%, while Over 2.5 goals also has a 66% likelihood. Considering the attacking trends of both sides and their defensive inconsistencies, the most likely scenario points towards a goal-filled encounter.
Vitesse vs Jong AZ prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 66% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vitesse
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3