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Prediction published on Nov 23, 2025 8:11 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Nov 23, 2025 8:11 PM
On Tuesday, November 25, Vitesse will host Jong PSV at the Gelredome in a match that promises plenty of attacking action in the Eerste Divisie. Despite sitting bottom of the table due to a points deduction, Vitesse’s on-field performances tell a different story. Without the penalty, they would be mid-table, showing that their season has been far more competitive than their ranking suggests. Meanwhile, Jong PSV arrive in Arnhem full of confidence after a strong start to the campaign, currently occupying third place and showing one of the most prolific attacks in the league.
Vitesse’s season has been overshadowed by administrative issues rather than poor performances. The team has collected five wins and four draws so far, which would normally place them around 12th in the standings. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-1 draw against FC Dordrecht on November 21, a result that extended their run of competitive displays. Over their last five matches, Vitesse have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game while conceding 1.8.
At home, the Gelredome has seen plenty of goals this season. In fact, Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Vitesse’s last 21 league matches, while Over 0.5 goals at half time has occurred in 19 of their last 20 Eerste Divisie fixtures. This pattern highlights their tendency to start games at a high tempo, often finding or conceding early goals. Defensively, however, the team has struggled to keep clean sheets, failing to do so in their last six matches. Still, their attacking intent remains clear, and with the home crowd behind them, Vitesse will look to turn their positive performances into much-needed points.
Jong PSV have been one of the standout teams in the Eerste Divisie this season. With 28 points from 16 matches, they sit in third place, having registered eight wins and four draws. Under the guidance of Stijn Schaars, the young Eindhoven side have shown resilience and attacking flair. Although they went through a rough patch of six winless games earlier in the season, they have now gone three matches unbeaten. Their latest result was a thrilling 3-3 draw against Jong FC Utrecht, a game in which they squandered a 3-0 lead but still demonstrated their offensive power.
Jong PSV’s attacking numbers are impressive: they average 2.1 goals scored per match and have found the net in nearly every game this season. However, their defense remains a concern, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game and at least one goal in 37 of their last 40 league fixtures. Away from home, their matches are rarely dull — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 16 away games, and Over 10.5 corners have been taken in nine consecutive away fixtures. These stats underline their open, attacking style, which often leads to end-to-end encounters.
When these two sides meet, goals are almost guaranteed. The last head-to-head clash ended in a 6-4 victory for Jong PSV in December 2024, a result that perfectly encapsulates the attacking nature of both teams. Historically, Jong PSV have had the upper hand, winning both of their previous encounters against Vitesse, with an average of 4.5 goals conceded by the Arnhem side per game.
Vitesse’s main challenge will be to tighten their defense without sacrificing their offensive rhythm. Their attacking players have shown creativity and energy, but lapses at the back have cost them valuable points. Jong PSV, on the other hand, will aim to exploit those defensive weaknesses through their quick transitions and youthful pace. Given both teams’ recent scoring trends — BTTS has occurred in five of Vitesse’s last six matches and in eight of Jong PSV’s last nine — another high-scoring affair seems likely.
With both sides committed to attacking football and struggling to keep clean sheets, this fixture could once again deliver a goal-filled spectacle. The combination of Vitesse’s home energy and Jong PSV’s offensive consistency makes this one of the most intriguing matchups of the round in the Eerste Divisie.
Vitesse vs Jong PSV prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Vitesse
Jong PSV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
6
4
9
1
4.5
7
3
9
1