The final round of the regular season in the Eerste Divisie brings an intriguing clash between VVV-Venlo and Almere City. For the home side, this match marks the end of their campaign, while the visitors are already assured of a place in the promotion playoffs. With both teams looking to close the season on a high note, fans can expect an open and competitive encounter at De Koel.

VVV-Venlo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

VVV-Venlo currently sit 14th in the Eerste Divisie table with 42 points from 37 matches. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, reflected in their recent run of results: one win, two draws, and two defeats in the last five games. During this stretch, they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat against Helmond Sport on April 17, 2026.

Across the full season, VVV have recorded 12 wins, 6 draws, and 19 losses, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game while conceding 1.5. Home matches have often followed a similar pattern, with goals typically arriving after the break. In fact, over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 25 of their last 26 matches, and at least one team has failed to score before half time in 34 of their last 36 league fixtures.

These trends suggest that VVV often start cautiously but open up as the match progresses. Their supporters will hope for a strong finish to the season, especially after a campaign that has seen flashes of attacking promise but also defensive fragility.

Almere City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Almere City approach this fixture in fifth place with 58 points, already guaranteed a playoff spot. Their recent form has been solid, with three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. They have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded during this period, underlining their attacking strength. Their latest result was an emphatic 4-1 victory over FC Dordrecht on April 17, 2026.

Over the course of the season, Almere City have posted 18 wins, 4 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match. Their away form has been particularly entertaining: over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 away games, and they have found the net in 27 of their last 28 matches overall. Moreover, they have not drawn in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures, suggesting that their matches tend to produce decisive outcomes.

Almere City’s attacking consistency makes them a dangerous opponent, especially against a VVV side that has struggled for clean sheets. Their ability to score in virtually every game gives them confidence heading into the playoffs, and they will want to maintain momentum with another strong performance here.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent meetings between these sides have been relatively balanced. In their last five encounters, VVV-Venlo have recorded two wins, Almere City one, and two matches ended in draws. The most recent clash, played on November 24, 2025, ended in a 3-0 victory for VVV-Venlo. Across those games, VVV have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.

From a tactical perspective, this match could follow a familiar pattern: VVV may look to stay compact early on, while Almere City are likely to press forward and rely on their attacking rhythm. Given both teams’ statistical trends, goals in the second half appear highly probable. VVV’s home matches frequently see late action, and Almere City’s away fixtures are rarely short of scoring opportunities.

For the hosts, the challenge will be to contain Almere City’s offensive flow and exploit any defensive gaps on the counter. For the visitors, maintaining focus and avoiding complacency will be key as they prepare for the promotion playoffs.

VVV-Venlo vs Almere City Prediction

Considering the data and recent performances, Almere City enter this match as slight favorites. Their attacking form, combined with VVV’s defensive inconsistency, points toward an away win. However, VVV’s ability to score at home means that both teams could find the net before the final whistle.

BetMines prediction: Almere City win (2) with a probability of 38%. The draw stands at 23%, while a home win for VVV-Venlo is estimated at 40%. With both sides showing strong scoring patterns, the Over 2.5 goals market (65% probability) also looks appealing for those seeking goal-based options.