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VVV-Venlo
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Jong AZ
Prediction published on Jan 14, 2026 8:04 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 14, 2026 8:04 PM
The upcoming Friday night in the Eerste Divisie features just three fixtures, and one of the most intriguing is the clash between VVV-Venlo and Jong AZ. Both sides are eager to start the second half of the season on a positive note, with the hosts looking to consolidate their position in the upper half of the table and the visitors desperate to climb away from the lower ranks. The match promises attacking football and plenty of goalmouth action, given the recent scoring trends of both teams.
VVV-Venlo currently sit 8th in the Eerste Divisie standings with 30 points from 21 matches. Their campaign has been characterized by a mix of highs and lows, but they remain a competitive side capable of challenging anyone on their day. Before the winter break, VVV recorded a convincing 3-1 win over FC Dordrecht on December 19, showing their attacking potential at home.
Across their last five matches, VVV have registered 3 wins and 2 defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 10 wins and 11 losses, with no draws so far — a remarkable streak that extends to 25 consecutive matches without a draw. This trend also applies to their home form, where they haven’t drawn in their last 15 games.
VVV’s matches tend to come alive after the break: Over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 10 fixtures, and in 23 of their last 24 league games. However, the first halves are often quieter, with at least one team failing to score before halftime in 37 of their last 40 matches. This pattern suggests a team that grows stronger as the game progresses, often finding breakthroughs in the later stages.
Jong AZ enter this fixture in 18th place, having collected just 20 points from 22 matches. Their defensive fragility has been a major issue, conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game this season. The young side suffered a 1-2 defeat against Jong Ajax on January 12, continuing a difficult run of results.
In their last five outings, Jong AZ have managed only one win and four defeats, scoring 1.8 goals per match but conceding 3.0 on average. Their away games have been particularly entertaining, with Over 3.5 goals scored in each of their last six away fixtures in the Eerste Divisie. Moreover, both teams have found the net in the second half of all their last five league matches, underlining their open and unpredictable style of play.
Jong AZ’s first halves are rarely dull either: Over 0.5 goals have been scored before halftime in 22 of their last 24 matches, including 18 of their last 20 away games. This consistency in early goals suggests that the visitors often start aggressively, even if their defensive lapses later cost them points.
The recent history between these two sides slightly favors Jong AZ, who have won three of the last five meetings, with one draw and one defeat. The most recent encounter ended 0-2 in favor of Jong AZ on November 7, 2025. However, given the current form and momentum, VVV-Venlo appear better positioned to reverse that trend this time around.
VVV’s attacking efficiency at home, combined with Jong AZ’s defensive vulnerabilities, points toward a match with multiple scoring opportunities. Both teams have shown a tendency to produce high-scoring encounters, especially in the second half. The hosts’ ability to maintain intensity after the break could prove decisive against a youthful Jong AZ side that often struggles to close out games.
All indicators suggest an open and entertaining contest. VVV-Venlo have been strong at home and tend to find goals after halftime, while Jong AZ’s matches consistently feature multiple goals and defensive lapses. The combination of these trends makes a high-scoring outcome likely, with both teams capable of contributing to the scoreline.
Given the balance of probabilities and recent performances, VVV-Venlo hold a slight edge thanks to their home advantage and more consistent results. However, Jong AZ’s attacking potential means the visitors cannot be underestimated, especially in the early stages of the match.
VVV-Venlo vs Jong AZ prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with 65% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VVV-Venlo
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3