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VVV-Venlo
6:00 PM
October 16, 2026
Jong AZ
Prediction published on Oct 14, 2026 6:16 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Oct 14, 2026 6:16 PM
VVV-Venlo host Jong AZ on Friday, October 16, in the 11th round of the Eerste Divisie. Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 local time at Seacon Stadion – De Koel – in Venlo. The hosts have made a strong start, taking 21 points from their first 10 matches to sit third, one point behind second place and four behind the leaders. Jong AZ are 11th with 13 points from 10 games. That gap gives this VVV-Venlo vs Jong AZ match a clear contrast: the home side are looking to maintain their early pace, while the visitors arrive after a less consistent run. Both teams have nevertheless been involved in high-scoring games, making their attacking records an important part of this match preview.
VVV-Venlo have won four of their last five matches, with their only defeat in that stretch coming in a 3-2 loss away to FC Volendam. They beat TOP Oss 3-1, Jong FC Utrecht 3-1 and Roda JC 2-0 before recording a 3-0 victory over Jong Ajax on October 9. Those results show that their recent wins have not depended on a single type of game: they have taken points in contests with several goals as well as in matches where they kept a clean sheet.
Across those five fixtures, VVV-Venlo averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their Eerste Divisie record after 10 games is seven wins, no draws and three defeats, with season averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 allowed. Goals have been a persistent feature of their league matches: the last 13 have all produced more than 1.5 goals in total. More specifically, VVV-Venlo have scored at least twice in each of their last 11 Eerste Divisie games. That scoring sequence is a stronger indicator of their attacking form than the overall match-goals trend alone.
The timing of those goals is also worth noting. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 34 of VVV-Venlo's last 36 league matches, and the same has happened in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. They have also led at half-time in seven of their last 11 Eerste Divisie games. Those figures do not guarantee an early lead or another busy second half, but they underline how regularly their recent matches have featured decisive scoring periods.
Jong AZ have taken two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five matches. Their victories came in a 6-3 game against FC Dordrecht and a 4-1 result against FC Volendam, while they drew 1-1 with Jong PSV and lost 3-2 to Heracles Almelo. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat to FC Den Bosch on October 9. The contrast between those emphatic wins and the latest setback helps explain why their recent form looks less settled than VVV-Venlo's.
The visitors have averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five games. Across the league season, their record stands at four wins, one draw and five defeats, with averages of 2.2 goals for and 1.8 against. Jong AZ have therefore shown they can score freely, but their defensive figures leave room for concern against a VVV-Venlo side on a long run of matches with at least two goals scored.
Goals have also been common in Jong AZ's away games: each of their last 19 Eerste Divisie trips has produced more than 1.5 goals in total. At least one second-half goal has been scored in 18 of their last 20 away matches, while 31 of their last 34 league fixtures have had a goal before half-time. These are match-wide figures rather than guarantees that Jong AZ themselves will score in either period. They do, however, add to the evidence that their fixtures rarely remain quiet throughout.
VVV-Venlo enter with the stronger league record and more convincing recent results, but Jong AZ's scoring average gives the hosts reason to take their visitors seriously. The home side's 3-0 win over Jong Ajax was their fourth victory in five matches; Jong AZ, by contrast, are seeking a response to their defeat against FC Den Bosch. If the visitors reproduce the attacking output they showed against FC Dordrecht and FC Volendam, this could become an open contest rather than one defined solely by VVV-Venlo's form.
The recent head-to-head record offers a further note of caution for the hosts. Across the five meetings in the supplied summary, VVV-Venlo have won twice and lost three times, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.6 conceded. The latest recorded meeting finished 1-3 on January 16, 2026. While the current league standings favor VVV-Venlo, those previous results do not suggest that Jong AZ should be dismissed on the basis of the table alone.
For this Eerste Divisie preview, the clearest shared theme is goals. VVV-Venlo have scored at least twice in 11 consecutive league matches, and Jong AZ's last five fixtures have combined a 2.6-goal scoring average with 1.8 conceded per game. The hosts' long sequence of games featuring more than 1.5 total goals and the visitors' equivalent away run reinforce that picture. Recent results include clean sheets and a 1-0 defeat, so an open game is not certain. Even so, the two sides' attacking figures make a higher-scoring outcome a coherent conclusion to the available form.
VVV-Venlo vs Jong AZ prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 72% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VVV-Venlo
Jong AZ
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
2
8
3
7
3.5
4
6
5
5
4.5
7
3
6
4