VVV-Venlo host Roda JC Kerkrade on Sunday, October 4, in the ninth round of the Eerste Divisie. Kick-off is scheduled for 12:30 local time at Seacon Stadion – De Koel – in Venlo. This Limburg derby brings together two sides level on 15 points after eight matches: VVV are fourth, while Roda sit fifth. Their routes to that total have been different. The hosts have won five games without drawing any, whereas the visitors have combined four victories with three draws. VVV’s recent matches have produced plenty of goals, but Roda arrive unbeaten in five, giving this meeting an intriguing contrast.

VVV-Venlo Recent Form and Key Stats

VVV-Venlo have recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five matches. They lost 4-2 to Helmond Sport and, most recently, 3-2 to FC Volendam on September 26. Between those setbacks, they beat FC Emmen 4-0, TOP Oss 3-1 and Jong FC Utrecht 3-1. That run illustrates both their scoring ability and the difficulty they have had keeping opponents out: across the five games, VVV have averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.

The pattern extends across their Eerste Divisie campaign. VVV’s eight league matches have yielded five wins and three losses, with averages of 2.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their results have therefore been decisive so far, with no draws in their season record. Goals have also been a consistent feature of their fixtures: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 11 Eerste Divisie matches. That statistic refers to goals by both teams combined, rather than VVV’s scoring alone.

There are also notable timing trends for the hosts. VVV have led at half-time in their last three home league matches and in six of their last ten Eerste Divisie games. A goal has been scored after the interval in 32 of their last 34 league fixtures, including 18 of their last 20 home matches across competitions. Those figures do not determine how this derby will unfold, but they show why both halves may matter when assessing VVV’s recent matches.

Roda JC Kerkrade Recent Form and Key Stats

Roda JC Kerkrade come into the derby with two wins and three draws from their last five matches. They shared the points with NAC Breda in a 2-2 draw, MVV Maastricht in a 1-1 draw and Jong Ajax in a 0-0 draw, while also beating Vitesse 1-0. Their latest result was a 2-0 win over RKC Waalwijk on September 26. Unlike VVV, Roda have avoided defeat throughout that five-game sequence, though three of those matches ended level.

Roda have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded across those five fixtures. Their season record tells a similar story of comparatively modest scoring and limited concessions: four wins, three draws and one defeat, with averages of 1.1 goals for and 0.6 against per match. They have conceded less frequently than VVV over both the season and the most recent five games, while the hosts have been the more prolific scorers. That difference gives the visitors’ defensive record a clear role in this match preview.

The trip to Venlo offers Roda a chance to extend their unbeaten sequence against a team level with them on points. Their recent results show several ways a match can develop: the draws with NAC Breda and MVV Maastricht featured goals at both ends, while the games against Jong Ajax, Vitesse and RKC Waalwijk ended without Roda conceding. The question is whether they can maintain that defensive record against VVV’s higher-scoring attack.

VVV-Venlo vs Roda JC Kerkrade Match Analysis

The teams’ latest head-to-head meeting finished 2-2 on January 26, 2026. Across the five meetings covered by the supplied head-to-head record, VVV have two wins, Roda have one, and two have ended in draws. VVV have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded in those matches. The most recent result is another example of both sides finding the net, although Roda’s current defensive numbers give VVV a different challenge from their recent high-scoring fixtures.

For VVV-Venlo, the opportunity is to turn their attacking output into a result against a side that has lost only once in eight league games. For Roda JC Kerkrade, the task is to contain a home team averaging 2.6 goals per league match while building on their own five-game unbeaten run. VVV’s sequence of matches with at least two total goals and their recent 3-2 defeat to FC Volendam point toward the potential for chances and goals. Roda’s three draws in five games, however, underline how difficult they have been to beat.

The available figures make this a closely balanced derby rather than one defined by either side’s league position. VVV have the stronger scoring averages, while Roda have the stronger defensive averages and the longer current unbeaten run. With both clubs on 15 points, the outcome may depend on which of those contrasting trends holds up on Sunday.

VVV-Venlo vs Roda JC Kerkrade prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 63% probability.