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VVV-Venlo
7:00 PM
October 28, 2026
Vitesse
Prediction published on Oct 27, 2026 12:33 PM by Dario in Netherlands - KNVB Beker | Modified on Oct 27, 2026 12:33 PM
VVV-Venlo host Vitesse in a first-round KNVB Beker tie on October 28, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:00 local time at Seacon Stadion – De Koel – in Venlo. This meeting between two Eerste Divisie sides brings together a home team in stronger recent form and visitors still searching for consistency. VVV-Venlo have won three of their last five matches and have scored freely, although their defensive record leaves room for Vitesse to compete. The visitors have lost three of their last five, making their response to VVV-Venlo’s attacking output a central question in this cup match preview.
VVV-Venlo arrive after a 4-2 win against FC Dordrecht on October 24. Across their last five matches, they have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. That contrast sums up their recent performances: they have produced plenty in attack, but opponents have also found opportunities to score.
The 3-0 victory over Jong Ajax offers another example of VVV-Venlo’s scoring ability. Their 4-4 draw with Jong AZ Alkmaar and 3-2 defeat to FC Volendam, however, show why an attacking approach has not always translated into a comfortable result. Those scorelines make this tie difficult to assess solely through the home side’s superior run of results.
The longer-term goal statistics reinforce the attacking picture. VVV-Venlo have scored at least twice in each of their last 13 matches, while their last 15 matches have all featured over 1.5 total goals. There has also been at least one second-half goal in 37 of their last 39 games and in 18 of their last 20 home matches. Although VVV-Venlo have lost at half-time in their last five KNVB Beker matches, they have led at the break in seven of their last 11 matches overall. The differing half-time trends underline the importance of separating their cup record from their broader recent form.
Vitesse travel to Venlo following a 2-0 loss to FC Emmen on October 23. Their last five matches have brought one win, one draw and three defeats, with averages of 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Compared with VVV-Venlo’s recent scoring rate, the visitors have had a much harder time finding goals.
A 3-1 win over Jong PSV Eindhoven shows that Vitesse can still deliver an effective attacking performance. Yet the defeats in their five-match record point to a lack of consistency, and the article’s account of 2-0 losses against FC Volendam and Heracles Almelo adds to the concerns about their ability to respond when opponents take control.
Vitesse’s away-match statistics offer a more encouraging detail for the visitors. Their last 13 away matches have all featured at least one first-half goal, and they have been ahead at half-time in seven of their last 11 away games. Those figures do not erase their recent defeats, but they suggest the opening half could be significant. An early Vitesse goal would test a VVV-Venlo side that has conceded an average of 1.8 goals across its last five matches.
The clearest difference between the teams is their recent attacking output. VVV-Venlo’s average of 3.0 goals across five matches is well above Vitesse’s 0.6, and the home side’s run of scoring at least twice in 13 consecutive games is difficult to overlook. At the same time, VVV-Venlo’s recent 4-4 draw and 3-2 defeat show that scoring multiple goals has not always been enough to avoid dropped points.
There is no decisive edge for either club in the supplied head-to-head summary: from VVV-Venlo’s perspective, it stands at one win, two draws and two defeats, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Their most recent meeting ended 2-2 on February 14, 2026. That result fits the broader possibility of a competitive match, though Vitesse’s current scoring figures make any repeat of that scoreline far from certain.
VVV-Venlo have the stronger recent results and the more sustained scoring record, while Vitesse’s away first-half figures and the home side’s goals-conceded average provide reasons not to dismiss the visitors. For this KNVB Beker encounter, the goal trends are the most compelling feature: VVV-Venlo’s last 15 matches have cleared 1.5 total goals, and their recent results include several high-scoring games. Whether Vitesse can contribute regularly remains the main uncertainty, but the home side’s attacking form gives the match a clear route towards multiple goals.
VVV-Venlo vs Vitesse prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VVV-Venlo
Vitesse
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
2
8
2.5
1
9
5
5
3.5
3
7
7
3
4.5
6
4
9
1