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Prediction published on Jun 4, 2025 4:21 PM by Dario in Europe - WC Qualification Europe | Modified on Jun 5, 2025 9:10 AM
At the Cardiff City Stadium, Wales will face Liechtenstein in Matchday 3 of Group J in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualifiers, co-hosted by the USA, Canada, and Mexico. The home side approaches this clash with confidence after a strong start: a 3-1 win against Kazakhstan in their opening match and a dramatic 96th-minute equalizer away to North Macedonia. With four points from two games, Wales shares the top of the group with the Macedonians, who face a tough task against Belgium. For Craig Bellamy’s side, a win—preferably by a wide margin—could secure the top spot alone and send a strong message to Belgium, who have yet to play but are favorites to top the group on paper. Wales' clear objective: qualify for a second consecutive World Cup, which would be a historic achievement for Welsh football. The situation couldn’t be more different for Liechtenstein, who sit bottom of the group with two losses, five goals conceded, and none scored. Konrad Fünfstück’s team faces a nearly impossible task and, barring major upsets, seem destined to finish the group as the classic underdogs.
Wales are unbeaten in their last 14 matches. In Matchday 2 of these World Cup qualifiers, they drew 1-1 away to North Macedonia, coming from behind with Brooks' goal in the 96th minute after Miovski had put the hosts ahead in the 91st. Over their last five games, Wales has recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded, although they’ve conceded in each of their last three matches.
At home, Bellamy’s squad has been solid, unbeaten in their last eight matches (5 wins, 3 draws). They’ve won their last three games —against Montenegro, Iceland, and Kazakhstan—scoring eight goals and conceding just one. More broadly, Wales are unbeaten in their last seven World Cup qualifying matches.
Liechtenstein hasn't won in five matches, with their last win being a 1-0 friendly victory over Hong Kong on October 10. Fünfstück's side has lost four consecutive matches—to Malta, San Marino, North Macedonia, and Kazakhstan, the latter two in the first two rounds of Group J. They’ve failed to score in both qualifiers so far and have conceded in each of their last four games.
Away from home, Liechtenstein hasn’t won in over five years. That said, they’ve shown some signs of life recently, managing three draws in their last six away matches (the other three were defeats), against Latvia, Romania, and Gibraltar. In their last ten away fixtures, including friendlies, they’ve only scored in three.
Head-to-head stats favor Wales, who have won all three previous meetings with Liechtenstein—two 2-0 wins and one 4-0 win, both home and away. Wales, besides the home-field advantage (unbeaten at home since June 2023), can count on attacking talents like Brennan Johnson—fresh off winning the Europa League with Tottenham—and Daniel James, who had 12 goals and 9 assists this season for Leeds United.
Liechtenstein, having conceded in their last five matches and lost both opening games of the group, has shown they are far from competing for qualification. The expectation is for them to suffer a third straight defeat, while Wales aims not just to win, but to win big—goal difference could prove crucial in a potential tie with Belgium or North Macedonia for the top two spots.
For these reasons, the Wales vs Liechtenstein prediction by BetMines' algorithm leans heavily toward a clear home victory, in a match likely to see at least three total goals.
WALES (4-2-3-1): Darlow; Roberts, Rodon, Davies, Williams; Ampadu, Thomas; Johnson, Wilson, James; Cullen. Coach: Bellamy
LIECHTENSTEIN (3-5-2): Buchel; Traber, Wieser, Oberwaditzer; Kindle, Lüchinger, Hasler, Sele, Hofer; Pizzi, Salanovic. Coach: Fünfstück
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Wales
Liechtenstein
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
4
6
4.5
7
3
6
4