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Werder Bremen
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Borussia Dortmund
Prediction published on May 14, 2026 2:06 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on May 14, 2026 2:06 PM
The final matchday of the Bundesliga season brings together Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund in a fixture that, while lacking major stakes, still promises entertainment. Scheduled for Saturday, May 16, this clash sees a home side that has already secured safety face a visiting team that has locked in second place. With both teams free from pressure, the encounter could open up into a goal-filled contest, especially given their recent attacking trends and the statistical likelihood of a high-scoring affair.
Werder Bremen approach this final round after a narrow 1-0 defeat against TSG Hoffenheim on May 9. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five outings. Over that stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, reflecting a side that can find the net but struggles to maintain defensive solidity.
Across the Bundesliga season, Bremen’s record stands at 8 wins, 8 draws, and 17 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their home matches have been particularly lively: the last 12 have all produced over 1.5 total goals, and in each of their last 13 home fixtures, there has been at least one goal scored in the second half. However, they have also trailed at halftime in six of their last ten home appearances, underlining their tendency to start slowly before improving after the break.
Defensively, Bremen’s back line has rarely kept clean sheets, managing only one shutout at home since October. This vulnerability could again be exposed by a Dortmund side that thrives in attack. Still, with the pressure off and the home crowd behind them, Bremen may look to end their campaign on a positive note by playing with freedom and intensity.
Borussia Dortmund come into this fixture following a thrilling 3-2 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt on May 8. Their last five matches have produced two wins and three defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the full season, Dortmund’s record of 21 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses demonstrates their consistency and attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match while conceding just one on average.
The visitors have been remarkably consistent in finding the net, scoring in 27 of their last 29 Bundesliga matches. They also tend to start strong, with over 0.5 goals at halftime in 21 of their last 23 league games. Away from home, Dortmund’s matches have been entertaining: 11 consecutive away fixtures have seen at least one goal in the second half, and 6 of their last 8 away games have produced three or more total goals.
Another notable trend is their avoidance of draws — Dortmund have gone without a draw in 20 of their last 21 matches, often opting for an all-or-nothing approach. This attacking mindset, combined with Bremen’s defensive fragility, suggests that this encounter could once again deliver multiple goals and open football.
In recent meetings, Borussia Dortmund have held the upper hand. The last five head-to-head encounters have seen Bremen fail to win, with two draws and three defeats, and an average of 0.6 goals scored compared to 1.6 conceded. The most recent clash ended in a 3-0 victory for Dortmund earlier this year, further highlighting the gap between the two sides.
Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with over 2.5 goals in each of the last six meetings. Given both teams’ current form and the absence of competitive pressure, another high-scoring match seems likely. Bremen’s defense has struggled to contain top-tier attacks, while Dortmund’s offensive rhythm often leads to open, end-to-end football. The home side will rely on their attacking spirit to challenge Dortmund’s back line, while the visitors will look to exploit spaces and maintain their strong scoring record.
All indicators point toward a match filled with attacking intent and scoring opportunities. Bremen’s home games consistently deliver goals, and Dortmund’s attacking record both home and away reinforces that expectation. The statistical trends — including a 63% probability for Over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of Both Teams To Score — align with the open nature of this fixture.
With both sides playing without pressure, the conditions are ideal for an entertaining finale to the Bundesliga season. Expect chances at both ends, with Dortmund’s superior offensive quality likely to make the difference, but Bremen capable of contributing to the scoreline.
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Werder Bremen
Borussia Dortmund
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Over
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0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
2
8
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5
5
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6
3.5
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4
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3