Tools
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
FT
Hamburger SV
Prediction published on Apr 17, 2026 10:45 AM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Apr 17, 2026 10:45 AM
The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV promises to deliver another intense chapter in the northern rivalry. Scheduled for Saturday, April 18, this fixture at the Weserstadion will see two sides separated by only three points in the standings. Both teams are in need of a positive result to strengthen their position in the table, and recent statistics suggest that goals at both ends are highly likely. With neither side showing consistent form, the match could turn into a high-energy battle defined by defensive lapses and opportunistic finishing.
Werder Bremen enter this encounter sitting 15th in the Bundesliga, having endured a mixed run of results. Their last outing ended in a 3-1 defeat against FC Köln on April 12, underlining the defensive issues that have plagued them throughout the season. Over their last five matches, Bremen have recorded two wins and three defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. Across the entire campaign, their record stands at 7 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match.
At home, Bremen’s defensive vulnerabilities have been particularly evident. They have lost at half time in six of their last ten home fixtures, and only once since October have they managed to keep a clean sheet. However, their matches at the Weserstadion tend to be lively affairs: over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last ten home games, and there has been at least one goal in the second half in the last eleven. These trends suggest that while Bremen struggle to control games, they rarely fail to contribute to the scoreline.
Given their current situation, Bremen’s focus will be on tightening their defense while maintaining their attacking intent. The home crowd could play a decisive role in pushing the team forward, especially in a match that carries both emotional and competitive weight.
Hamburger SV approach this derby from 12th place in the Bundesliga table, but their recent form has been inconsistent. They suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat against VfB Stuttgart on April 12, a result that exposed their defensive fragility. Over their last five league matches, Hamburg have managed one win, two draws, and two losses, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 7 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match.
Defensively, the team has struggled to keep opponents at bay. They have not kept a clean sheet in their last eight league games, conceding almost two goals per match during that stretch. Away from home, their performances have been particularly shaky, with only two victories on the road — in Wolfsburg and Heidenheim. Despite this, their matches tend to be open and entertaining, with over 8.5 corners taken in each of their last twelve Bundesliga fixtures. However, they have also experienced several low-scoring away games, with under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last fourteen trips.
Hamburg’s main challenge lies in stabilizing their defense while rediscovering efficiency in attack. Their away record suggests vulnerability, but their ability to find the net regularly means they remain a threat, especially in a derby atmosphere where motivation often outweighs form.
Historically, encounters between Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV have produced goals and drama. The last head-to-head meeting ended 3-2 on December 7, 2025, and six of the previous nine duels have seen both teams score. This pattern aligns with the current tendencies of both sides: Bremen’s defensive instability and Hamburg’s open style of play make a goal-filled match a strong possibility.
Neither team is in top form, and both have struggled to maintain consistency throughout the season. Bremen’s home advantage could prove crucial, but Hamburg’s attacking potential ensures that the visitors will not go down easily. The emotional intensity of the northern derby often leads to unpredictable outcomes, yet the statistical indicators point toward both teams finding the net at least once.
Given the data from recent matches and the head-to-head history, this fixture is expected to be competitive and entertaining, with momentum swinging back and forth. The defensive weaknesses on both sides suggest that clean sheets are unlikely, while the attacking units should have enough opportunities to capitalize on mistakes.
Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 59% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Werder Bremen
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
5
5
3
7
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2