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Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Bundesliga 05-09-2026

Werder Bremen

3 - 1

FT

RB Leipzig

Wohninvest Weserstadion
Benjamin Brand
scattered clouds 18.44 °C

Prediction published on Sep 3, 2026 1:43 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Sep 3, 2026 1:43 PM

The second round of the 2026/27 Bundesliga brings together Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig on Saturday, September 5. The match is scheduled to kick off at 13:30 local time at the Wohninvest Weserstadion in Bremen. The two teams experienced sharply contrasting opening weekends: Werder suffered a heavy defeat, while Leipzig began their league campaign with a convincing victory and a clean sheet. The early standings reflect those results, with the hosts ranked 15th and the visitors fourth. Bremen therefore enter this fixture seeking an immediate response, but their recent record against Leipzig adds to the difficulty of the assignment. The visitors have not lost any of the five head-to-head meetings included in the supplied record and arrive with stronger recent attacking figures. With both teams’ league openers producing at least four goals, this Bundesliga match preview points toward another eventful contest.

Werder Bremen Recent Form and Key Statistics

Werder Bremen opened their Bundesliga season with a 4-1 defeat against SC Freiburg on August 30. As a result, their early league record stands at no wins, no draws and one loss, with averages of 1.0 goal scored and 4.0 conceded. Although those season figures are based only on the opening fixture, they underline the scale of the improvement required when Leipzig visit.

The broader recent numbers also show an inconsistent spell for Werder. Their supplied last-five record contains one victory, no draws and three defeats, alongside averages of 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Their attacking average suggests they have still found the net during this sequence, but the balance of results has been negative. After conceding four times in the opening round, defensive stability will be particularly important against opponents who scored three goals in their first Bundesliga game.

Werder’s home matches have repeatedly featured goals after the interval. There has been over 0.5 second-half goals in each of their last 14 home Bundesliga fixtures. Their previous 13 home league games have also all produced over 1.5 total goals. These streaks do not determine which team will score, but they indicate that Bremen’s home matches have consistently avoided finishing with minimal goal totals.

The hosts have also been behind at half-time in six of their last ten Bundesliga matches. That trend places extra importance on the opening stages, especially because Leipzig have regularly held an advantage by the break in their own recent fixtures. Werder will be aiming to avoid another difficult start and give themselves a stronger platform than they managed against Freiburg.

RB Leipzig Recent Form and Key Statistics

RB Leipzig made an impressive start by defeating Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-0 on August 29. Their first-round Bundesliga statistics consequently show one win from one match, an average of 3.0 goals scored and no goals conceded. That clean-sheet victory followed the 6-0 result against Trier mentioned in the source article, giving Leipzig two emphatic performances heading into this trip.

The visitors’ recent figures are stronger than Werder’s. Across the supplied last-five data, Leipzig recorded three wins, no draws and two defeats. They averaged 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, meaning their attacking output was considerably higher than that of Saturday’s hosts. Leipzig have also scored at least once in 22 of their last 23 Bundesliga matches, a sequence that makes their ability to threaten the Bremen goal one of the central themes of the fixture.

Second-half scoring has been remarkably consistent in Leipzig matches. More than 0.5 goals have been scored after half-time in their last 26 matches across all competitions and in their previous 23 Bundesliga games. The same pattern extends to their away schedule: each of their last 12 away matches contained a second-half goal, as did all of their previous ten away Bundesliga fixtures. Combined with Werder’s equivalent home trend, the data provides substantial support for expecting the contest to remain active after the interval.

Leipzig have won at half-time in six of their last ten matches. This compares favorably with Werder losing at the break in six of their previous ten Bundesliga fixtures. The visitors therefore carry both a strong opening result and a notable half-time trend into the match, although the available probabilities still describe a competitive contest rather than an overwhelming away advantage.

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Match Analysis

The recent head-to-head record favors RB Leipzig. From the five meetings summarized in the data, Werder have recorded no victories, two draws and three defeats, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.8. The latest encounter ended in a 2-1 Leipzig victory on April 4, 2026. That result also continued Bremen’s winless run within the supplied head-to-head sample.

The 1X2 probabilities give Leipzig the largest individual chance of victory at 43%, compared with 33% for Werder and 24% for the draw. Those percentages fit the contrasting opening results and the head-to-head record, but they also leave meaningful room for each possible outcome. Werder have home advantage and a clear need to react after their 4-1 loss, while Leipzig will seek to build on the control demonstrated in their 3-0 success.

Goals are the clearest statistical theme. Over 2.5 goals carries a 60% probability, while under 2.5 stands at 40%. Both opening league fixtures crossed the 2.5-goal line, and the last head-to-head match also finished with three goals. In addition, Bremen’s previous 13 home Bundesliga games have all contained at least two goals, while Leipzig’s recent scoring average is 2.8 per match.

The possibility of scoring at both ends is rated at 59%, although the copied article notes that only two of Werder’s previous six results featured goals for both teams and that Leipzig had kept four clean sheets during the referenced period. This creates an interesting contrast between the current structured probability and those earlier sequences. The stronger overall conclusion concerns the total-goals market: Leipzig arrive after scoring three in the league opener, Werder’s first match produced five goals, and both sides have extensive second-half goal streaks.

The half-time evidence is also notable, with over 0.5 first-half goals assigned an 82% probability. Werder’s tendency to trail at the interval and Leipzig’s record of leading at half-time suggest that the opening 45 minutes could be significant. Even so, the repeated full-match scoring patterns provide the most coherent basis for the final selection. An open response from Werder, combined with Leipzig’s recent attacking production, could push the total beyond two goals.

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 60% probability.

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig - Predictions

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Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

2

80%

8

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

50%

5

50%

5

20%

2

80%

8

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

40%

4

60%

6

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

80%

8

20%

2

BetMines

Standings of Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig in Bundesliga

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

8

RB Leipzig

2

1

0

1

4:3

3

1.5

W
L
10

Werder Bremen

2

1

0

1

4:5

3

1.5

L
W
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Who will win ?

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig: Frequently asked questions

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When will Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig be played?
The Bundesliga match between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig will be played on September 5, 2026 at 13:30.
Where will Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig be played?
The match between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig will be played at Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen - Germany
Who will referee Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The referee for the match will be Benjamin Brand.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga?
The odds are: Werder Bremen to win 4.00, draw 4.20, RB Leipzig to win 1.75.
What are the betting odds for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Bundesliga?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.40 and Under 2.5 at 3.00.
Will both Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig score in the Bundesliga?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.40, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.75.
What is the most likely correct score for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga?
The most likely correct score is 1-2, with odds of 9.
What are the head-to-head results between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig, Werder Bremen won 0 times, RB Leipzig won 3, and 2 ended in a draw.

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