West Ham United welcome Derby County to the London Stadium on September 5 for matchday five of the Championship. The contest begins at 14:00 local time, with both teams looking to build on victories recorded four days earlier. West Ham defeated Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-2, while Derby earned a 2-0 away win against Portsmouth. The hosts enter the fixture in 12th place with five points from four league matches, one point and four positions above their visitors. Recent numbers indicate that goals could shape this encounter: West Ham have scored an average of 2.4 and conceded 1.6 across their last five matches, while Derby have found the net in 37 of their previous 40 games. The Hammers have also gone four league fixtures without a clean sheet, giving the Rams reason to believe that they can contribute to the scoring.

West Ham United Recent Form and Key Statistics

West Ham United secured their first Championship victory of the campaign with an entertaining 4-2 success against Wolverhampton Wanderers on September 1. Divine Mukasa scored twice, with Jarrod Bowen and Konstantinos Mavropanos also on the scoresheet. That convincing performance ended a sequence of three opening league games without a win and provided a welcome lift for head coach Nuno Espirito Santo.

The Hammers now have a Championship record of one win, two draws and one defeat. They are averaging 2.0 goals scored per league game, but their average of 1.8 conceded highlights the other side of their early results. Their broader five-match sequence stands at two victories, two draws and one loss, with an impressive scoring average of 2.4 goals per fixture. However, conceding 1.6 per game during the same run shows why the home side have not always been able to turn their attacking output into maximum points.

There are also notable patterns attached to West Ham's home performances. They have avoided being behind at half-time in 19 of their last 21 home matches. In addition, at least one second-half goal has been recorded in 19 of those 21 fixtures. Those figures suggest that the hosts have frequently remained competitive through the opening period and that their home games have continued to produce important action after the interval.

• Championship record: one win, two draws and one defeat.
• Last five matches: two wins, two draws and one defeat.
• Last-five scoring averages: 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
• Latest result: a 4-2 victory over Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Derby County Recent Form and Key Statistics

Derby County also arrive after claiming their first league win of the season. Following a three-game winless spell consisting of one draw and two defeats, the Rams responded with a 2-0 victory away to Portsmouth on September 1. Goals from Sammie Szmodics and Lars-Jorgen Salvesen decided the contest and gave John Eustace's team a timely boost before this trip.

The visitors sit 16th with four points, having registered one win, one draw and two defeats in the Championship. Their league averages are 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Across their latest five outings, Derby have one victory, one draw and three losses, scoring 1.2 goals and allowing 1.8 per game. Their clean sheet at Portsmouth was therefore particularly significant after an uneven sequence of results.

Derby's longer-term statistical trends point strongly towards decisive matches and early goalmouth action. They have avoided a draw in 21 of their last 22 matches, including 20 of their previous 21 Championship fixtures. Away from home, they have not drawn 19 of their last 20 games, a pattern that also applies to 19 of their latest 20 Championship trips.

Goals before the interval have been especially common in the visitors' matches. At least one first-half goal has been scored in each of Derby's last 12 away Championship fixtures and in their last 10 matches overall. The same outcome has occurred in 21 of their previous 23 league games. Derby have also been ahead at half-time in 12 of their last 20 away matches in the Championship. Most importantly for their attacking prospects, the Rams have scored at least once in 37 of their last 40 matches.

• Championship record: one win, one draw and two defeats.
• Last five matches: one win, one draw and three defeats.
• Latest result: a 2-0 away victory over Portsmouth.
• First-half trend: a goal in each of their last 12 away Championship matches.

West Ham United vs Derby County Match Analysis

Both teams enter this Championship meeting with renewed confidence after winning on September 1. West Ham's six-goal contest against Wolverhampton Wanderers demonstrated their ability to create and convert chances, but it also extended their league run without a clean sheet to four matches. Derby's performance at Portsmouth was more controlled on the scoreboard, with the Rams scoring twice and conceding none.

The available attacking and defensive averages create the prospect of an open contest. West Ham have produced 2.4 goals per match over their last five while conceding 1.6, and their Championship games currently feature averages of 2.0 scored and 1.8 allowed. Derby's league defensive average is also 1.8 goals conceded, although their consistent scoring record means they cannot be discounted in London. The Rams have additionally found the net in each of their last four Championship matches in this fixture.

Historical data gives West Ham a strong overall return from the five-match head-to-head summary, which records four victories, no draws and one defeat from their perspective. Their averages across those meetings are 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The most recent listed encounter finished 0-2 on January 30, 2023. While those previous results provide useful context, the current numbers present two sides whose league campaigns have featured the same average of 1.8 goals conceded per game.

The match probabilities give West Ham a 42% chance of victory, compared with 32% for Derby and 26% for the draw. However, the scoring indicators may be more revealing than the narrow difference between the teams in the result market. West Ham are coming off a 4-2 win but remain without a league clean sheet, while Derby have just recorded a two-goal away victory and possess a long run of matches in which they have scored. With both attacks showing recent signs of productivity and both league defensive averages standing at 1.8 conceded, goals at each end represent a coherent conclusion.

West Ham United vs Derby County prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 58% probability.