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West Ham United
6:45 PM
September 15, 2026
Fulham
Prediction published on Sep 13, 2026 7:03 PM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Sep 13, 2026 7:03 PM
West Ham United welcome Fulham to the London Stadium on September 15, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 18:45 local time. This Carabao Cup third-round tie brings together a home side enjoying an excellent sequence and visitors who have endured a difficult opening to their Premier League campaign. West Ham enter the contest unbeaten in six league and cup matches, while Fulham collected their first Premier League point of the season in a goalless draw against Liverpool. Both clubs have already recorded convincing Carabao Cup victories, but the Hammers’ current scoring form makes this an especially demanding away assignment for Fulham.
West Ham United approach the third round after four consecutive victories, scoring 16 goals during that winning sequence. Their latest result was an emphatic 6-0 victory over Wrexham on September 11, extending an unbeaten run that now stands at six matches across league and cup competition.
Their record over the last five fixtures is four wins and one draw, with averages of 3.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. West Ham have been particularly productive at the London Stadium, winning their last three home games while scoring 13 goals and allowing only two. They have also been ahead at half-time in each of those three home victories and have avoided a half-time deficit in 19 of their last 21 matches on their own ground.
The Hammers have successfully negotiated two Carabao Cup rounds this season. After beating Portsmouth, they travelled to Southampton and claimed a commanding 4-1 second-round victory. That result was achieved despite eight changes being made to the side, demonstrating that alterations did not prevent West Ham from maintaining their attacking output. Their competition record currently reads two wins, no draws and no defeats, with averages of 3.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals have been a consistent feature of their fixtures. More than 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of West Ham’s last 11 matches, while eight of their nine league and cup games this season have produced over 2.5. At least one second-half goal has also been scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
Changes are again expected, with this cup tie taking place four days before West Ham’s next Championship fixture. Jarrod Bowen and Joel Veltman are expected to be omitted, while Kyle Walker-Peters is likely to play at right-back. Herrick, who featured in the win at Southampton, is expected to start in goal. Mohamadou Kante came off the bench and scored the fifth goal against Wrexham, potentially strengthening his case for a starting role.
Fulham travel across London after earning a 0-0 draw away to Liverpool on September 12. That point ended a run of three consecutive Premier League defeats at the beginning of the season, although the visitors remain without a league victory after four matches.
The Cottagers have registered one win, one draw and three defeats across their last five games. During that period, they averaged 1.4 goals both scored and conceded. Their only victory of the season came in the previous round of the Carabao Cup, when they defeated AFC Wimbledon 3-0 at home. Fulham therefore have one win from one match in this season’s competition, with averages of 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded.
Their broader Carabao Cup record provides some encouragement. Fulham have scored at least once in each of their last 13 matches in the competition and have been ahead at half-time in eight of those fixtures. At the same time, all of their last 10 Carabao Cup games have finished with fewer than 3.5 total goals, highlighting a pattern that has generally kept the final score within that boundary.
The away half-time statistics are less positive. Fulham have not been leading at the interval in any of their last 15 away fixtures. Three of their last 10 away matches finished without a goal, while three of their last 14 games overall also produced under 0.5 goals. The draw at Liverpool was another example of a match in which the Cottagers kept the scoreline under control but failed to find the net.
Recent cup history shows that Fulham reached the Carabao Cup quarter-finals last season and the semi-finals two seasons earlier. They are expected to make several changes for this tie, just as West Ham did successfully in the previous round. Fulham lost at home to the Hammers last season but also recorded a victory at the London Stadium. That remains their only win against West Ham across the last four meetings.
The contrast in current momentum is clear. West Ham United have won four matches in a row, are unbeaten in six and have scored freely both at home and in the Carabao Cup. Fulham, meanwhile, have won only once this season, although their 0-0 draw at Liverpool and 3-0 cup victory over AFC Wimbledon show two different ways in which they can compete.
The head-to-head summary is evenly balanced, with West Ham recording two wins, Fulham two and one match ending in a draw. Across those meetings, the Hammers averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded. The most recent encounter finished 1-0 to Fulham on March 4, 2026, so the visitors have direct evidence that they can overcome their hosts despite West Ham’s stronger current sequence.
West Ham’s home starts could be important. Three consecutive half-time leads at the London Stadium meet a Fulham side that has failed to lead at the break in 15 straight away matches. However, Fulham’s run of scoring in 13 consecutive Carabao Cup fixtures means the hosts cannot rely solely on their recent attacking strength. West Ham have conceded an average of one goal per game across both their last five fixtures and this season’s cup campaign.
The main statistical theme is the possibility of goals. West Ham’s last 11 matches have all crossed the 1.5-goal line, and all but one of their nine competitive games this season have contained at least three goals. Over 2.5 goals has also occurred in three of Fulham’s last five matches. Fulham’s run of 10 consecutive Carabao Cup games under 3.5 suggests that, if the tie becomes open, a three-goal outcome may fit both sets of trends more naturally than an extreme scoreline.
West Ham United vs Fulham prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 56% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
West Ham United
Fulham
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
4
6
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2