Tools
West Ham United
2 - 0
FT
Leicester City
Prediction published on Feb 25, 2025 5:41 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 26, 2025 8:19 AM
The Premier League midweek round concludes with a crucial match at the Olympic Stadium between West Ham United and Leicester City. This fixture is particularly important for the lower part of the standings, as the 16th and 19th teams face off in a battle for survival. The hosts, boosted by a prestigious victory away at Arsenal in the last round, have gained some breathing room, increasing their lead over the relegation zone to 13 points. The 1-0 win at Emirates Stadium, secured by Jarrod Bowen (his eighth goal of the season), allowed the Hammers to break a two-game losing streak against Chelsea and Brentford, which had put their survival hopes at risk. The mood is quite different for Leicester City, who suffered their third consecutive Premier League defeat last round, falling 4-0 at home to Brentford. With the relegation zone just 5 points away, the Foxes still have a chance to stay up, but without a significant change in form, an immediate return to the Championship looks likely.
Graham Potter will be hoping that the win over Arsenal can spark a positive run and secure safety as soon as possible. Before that victory, the Hammers had picked up just one point in three games, with their last win dating back to January 14 (3-2 vs Fulham).
In the Premier League, West Ham’s home form has been disappointing, with only 4 wins in 13 matches (2 draws, 7 defeats), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Moreover, they have lost 3 of their last 4 home games (against Liverpool, Crystal Palace, and Brentford).
It’s a tough moment for Ruud van Nistelrooy’s side. After their surprise 2-1 victory over Tottenham on January 26, they have suffered four consecutive defeats across the Premier League and FA Cup. Expanding the view to the last 10 matches in all competitions, their record stands at 8 defeats and just 2 wins.
Leicester’s away performances have been particularly poor. In this Premier League season, the Foxes have managed only 8 points on the road (2 wins, 2 draws, 8 defeats). Additionally, Leicester City has conceded the most goals away from home – a staggering 32 goals, averaging 2.66 per match.
With a comfortable lead over the bottom three, West Ham United can afford to approach this game strategically, without rushing into attacks and exposing themselves to Leicester’s counter-attacks. Given the standings, Leicester City will be forced to push forward in search of a vital win to shake up their season.
Despite Leicester’s poor form, recent head-to-head records favor the Foxes. In the last five meetings, Leicester has won three times, with one win for West Ham and one draw – including their 3-1 victory in the reverse fixture last December.
Considering the potential balance in this game, the algorithm’s prediction for West Ham United vs Leicester City suggests a match where both teams are likely to score.
West Ham United (5-3-2): Areola; Wan-Bissaka, Todibo, Kilman, Cresswell, Emerson; Soucek, Ward-Prowse, Carlos Soler; Bowen, Kudus. Coach: Potter
Leicester City (4-2-3-1): Hermansen; Coulibaly, Faes, Vestergaard, Kristiansen; Ndidi, Soumaré; Mavididi, Buonanotte, Ayew; Vardy. Coach: van Nistelrooy
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
West Ham United
Leicester City
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
7
3
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
10
0
10
0