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Willem II
0 - 1
FT
ADO Den Haag
Prediction published on Jan 7, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Jan 7, 2026 9:03 PM
The Eerste Divisie returns with an exciting clash as Willem II host league leaders ADO Den Haag on January 9, 2026. The home side from Tilburg are currently ninth in the standings and looking to regain consistency after a mixed run of results before the winter break. Meanwhile, ADO Den Haag travel as the dominant force of the season, sitting comfortably at the top of the table and aiming to extend their impressive campaign with another victory.
Willem II have endured a turbulent spell in recent weeks, managing just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw against Helmond Sport on December 21, a result that highlighted both their attacking potential and defensive fragility. Over that five-game stretch, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, underlining the need for greater balance.
In the Eerste Divisie, Willem II’s overall record stands at 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their home form has been particularly unpredictable, often starting cautiously — they have drawn at half time in their last six home matches. However, their games tend to open up after the break, with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 20 home fixtures.
Set-piece situations and corners are another recurring theme in Willem II’s matches. Incredibly, over 7.5 corners have been taken in 29 of their last 30 games, including 19 of their last 20 at home. This suggests that their matches are often lively and full of attacking intent, even if the final results have not always gone their way.
ADO Den Haag have been the standout team of the Eerste Divisie season so far. Despite a rare 1-2 defeat to Jong PSV on December 19, they remain top of the table with a remarkable record of 17 wins, 1 draw, and only 2 losses. Their attacking power has been relentless, averaging 2.8 goals scored per match while conceding just 1.1.
In their last five matches, ADO have recorded four wins and one defeat, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding 1.6. They have also shown a strong mentality, having not lost at half time in 23 of their last 24 league games. Away from home, they remain consistent, often starting matches strongly — winning at half time in 7 of their last 10 away fixtures.
Goal action is almost guaranteed when ADO play. There have been over 1.5 total goals in each of their last 17 matches, and at least one goal scored by ADO themselves in 27 of their last 28 league games. The second half tends to be particularly productive, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in their last 27 Eerste Divisie matches. This attacking consistency has been the foundation of their dominance and explains why they remain five points clear at the top.
The previous meeting between these sides earlier in the season ended in a commanding 5-1 victory for ADO Den Haag on August 10, 2025. Historically, the head-to-head record is balanced, with Willem II winning three, drawing one, and losing one of their last five encounters. Both teams have averaged 1.6 goals scored and conceded in those meetings, suggesting that goals are often on the menu when they face each other.
From a tactical perspective, Willem II will likely aim to stay compact early on, given their tendency to draw at half time, before pushing forward in the second half. ADO Den Haag, on the other hand, have shown they can dominate possession and create chances consistently, especially in the latter stages of matches. Their attacking rhythm and ability to score in virtually every game make them a formidable opponent for any side in the division.
Given the current form and statistical trends, this fixture promises to be open and entertaining. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and with ADO’s attacking firepower meeting Willem II’s unpredictable defense, goals seem inevitable once again.
All indicators point towards another strong performance from the league leaders. Willem II’s inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities contrast sharply with ADO Den Haag’s efficiency and momentum. The visitors have not drawn any of their last 18 league matches, underlining their all-or-nothing approach, and their ability to find the net in nearly every game gives them a clear edge.
BetMines prediction: ADO Den Haag win (2) with a 60% probability. The data also suggests a lively contest, with Both Teams To Score – Yes at 63% and Over 2.5 goals at 63%, reinforcing expectations of an entertaining and goal-filled encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
6
4
2.5
6
4
6
4
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2