Tools
Willem II
0 - 2
FT
De Graafschap
Prediction published on Mar 26, 2026 6:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 26, 2026 6:02 PM
The upcoming clash in the Eerste Divisie between Willem II and De Graafschap promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Both sides are still fighting for the best possible position ahead of the promotion playoffs, as the direct promotion spots have already been secured by other teams. With only a few games left in the regular season, every point counts, and this encounter could play a decisive role in shaping the final standings.
Willem II enter this match sitting third in the Eerste Divisie standings, showing a solid campaign overall. Their season record stands at 15 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The team has been particularly effective in recent weeks, collecting 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five outings. During this stretch, they have averaged 2.4 goals scored while conceding only 0.6 per game.
Their most recent performance was a statement victory — a 0-5 win against MVV Maastricht on March 22, 2026. That result underlined their attacking efficiency and defensive discipline. At home, Willem II have also been consistent, often dictating the tempo and creating numerous chances. In fact, over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 home matches, reflecting their offensive approach and ability to sustain pressure throughout the game.
Historically, Willem II have enjoyed a strong record against De Graafschap, remaining unbeaten in their last five head-to-head meetings with 4 wins and 1 draw. They have averaged 2.6 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded in those encounters, which could give them a psychological edge heading into this fixture.
De Graafschap currently occupy fifth place in the Eerste Divisie, just behind Willem II. Their season record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats highlights a competitive campaign, though defensive lapses have occasionally cost them points. On average, they score 1.8 goals per match and concede 1.6, showing both attacking potential and vulnerability at the back.
In their last five matches, De Graafschap have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding 2.0. Their latest outing ended in a 1-2 loss against ADO Den Haag on March 22, 2026, a result that halted their momentum. Despite this, they remain a dangerous side capable of producing goals, as shown by their 3-3 draw with MVV Maastricht earlier in the same run.
One of the most notable trends for De Graafschap is their involvement in high-scoring matches. Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 28 of their last 30 games, and over 0.5 goals in the second half have occurred in nearly all of their recent fixtures. Moreover, both teams have scored in the second half in each of their last four Eerste Divisie matches. Their away games are rarely dull either — over 7.5 corners have been taken in each of their last 18 away league fixtures, underlining their open style of play.
However, their defensive record away from home remains a concern. They have conceded at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 away matches, which could be problematic against a Willem II side that thrives on home turf.
This matchup brings together two teams with attacking mindsets and plenty of motivation to finish the season strongly. Willem II will look to capitalize on their home advantage and recent scoring form, while De Graafschap will aim to exploit any defensive gaps with their quick transitions and forward pressure. Given both sides’ tendencies to produce open games, fans can expect an entertaining contest with chances at both ends.
Statistically, the numbers suggest a lively encounter. Over 2.5 goals has been a frequent outcome in matches involving both teams, and the BTTS (Both Teams To Score) trend is also strong, with a 63% probability according to recent data. The last meeting between these sides ended 1-1 in September 2025, which further supports the expectation of a balanced yet goal-rich match.
While De Graafschap have shown resilience on the road, Willem II’s superior home form and historical dominance in this fixture make them slight favorites. Their ability to control possession and create sustained pressure could prove decisive, especially if they manage to score early and force the visitors to chase the game.
Willem II vs De Graafschap prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Willem II
De Graafschap
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
10
0
4
6
4.5
10
0
7
3