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Willem II
1 - 1
FT
FC Den Bosch
Prediction published on Mar 6, 2026 2:03 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Mar 6, 2026 2:03 PM
The upcoming clash between Willem II and FC Den Bosch promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in the Keuken Kampioen Divisie this weekend. Scheduled for Sunday, March 8, this Brabant derby brings together two sides with contrasting recent form but similar ambitions. Earlier in the season, Den Bosch claimed a 2-1 home victory, and Willem II will now be eager to take revenge in front of their supporters. With both teams still in the race for promotion or play-off spots, the stakes are high and the atmosphere is expected to be electric.
Willem II currently sit sixth in the Eerste Divisie standings, maintaining a solid position in the play-off zone. Their recent performances have been encouraging, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches. The Tilburg side have shown consistency both in attack and defense, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game during that run. Their most recent success came in a convincing 0-3 away win against FC Emmen on February 27, a result that underlined their growing confidence.
Across the season, Willem II’s record stands at 13 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Their home form has been particularly reliable, often producing lively encounters. In fact, over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 home matches, and goals after the break are a common feature — at least one goal has been scored in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. These trends suggest that Willem II tend to grow stronger as matches progress, especially when backed by their home crowd.
FC Den Bosch approach this match from tenth place in the table, still within touching distance of the play-off positions. However, their recent form has been less convincing. In their last five outings, they have managed just one win, alongside three draws and one defeat. Their latest result was a 2-2 draw against Roda JC Kerkrade on February 27. While they have shown attacking intent — averaging 1.4 goals scored per game — defensive lapses remain a concern, with 1.6 goals conceded on average over the same period.
Over the course of the season, Den Bosch have recorded 11 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, scoring and conceding at an identical rate of 1.8 goals per match. Their matches tend to be open and entertaining: over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 11 games, and the same applies to their last 10 away fixtures. Moreover, they have conceded at least one goal in 19 of their last 20 matches, highlighting a defensive fragility that could be exploited by Willem II’s attack. Another notable trend is their struggle in the first half of away games — Den Bosch have been behind at half time in 7 of their last 10 away matches.
The rivalry between Willem II and FC Den Bosch has produced competitive and goal-filled encounters in recent years. In their last five meetings, Willem II have won three times and lost twice, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding 1.2. The most recent head-to-head ended 2-1 in favor of Den Bosch on November 28, 2025, a result that Willem II will be keen to overturn.
From a tactical perspective, Willem II’s balanced approach — combining solid defending with efficient finishing — contrasts with Den Bosch’s more open style of play. The visitors’ tendency to concede early could prove costly against a home side that often dominates possession and creates numerous chances. Given the attacking trends of both teams, another match with multiple goals seems likely, especially considering that over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 29 of Den Bosch’s last 32 matches.
All signs point towards an entertaining encounter in Tilburg. Willem II’s home advantage, stronger defensive record, and recent momentum make them slight favorites, while Den Bosch’s attacking spirit ensures they will not go down without a fight. However, their poor away form and defensive inconsistencies could once again be their undoing.
Willem II vs FC Den Bosch prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 49% probability. The Draw (X) stands at 23%, while an Away Win (2) is estimated at 27%. Additionally, the data suggests a high likelihood of goals, with Over 2.5 goals occurring in 61% of simulations and Both Teams To Score – Yes in 60%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Willem II
FC Den Bosch
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
4
6
1
9
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
5
5
4.5
10
0
6
4