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Willem II vs Jong PSV Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Eerste Divisie 03-04-2026

Willem II

1 - 0

FT

Jong PSV

Koning Willem II Stadion
Rick Sturm
broken clouds 11.46 °C

Prediction published on Apr 1, 2026 6:15 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie | Modified on Apr 1, 2026 6:15 PM

The upcoming Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and Jong PSV promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of early April. Scheduled for April 3, this encounter brings together two sides currently positioned near the top of the table — Willem II sitting third and Jong PSV sixth. Both teams have shown flashes of attacking quality this season, but their recent form suggests contrasting momentum heading into this match.


Willem II’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Willem II saw their four-match unbeaten streak come to an end with a 0-2 defeat against De Graafschap on March 28. Before that setback, the Tilburg side had recorded three wins and one draw, including convincing victories over FC Emmen (0-3), TOP Oss (1-3), and MVV Maastricht (0-5). Their consistency in front of goal has been a defining feature, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded across their last five matches.


Over the course of the season, Willem II have collected 15 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their home performances have been particularly disciplined, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last ten Eerste Divisie home fixtures. This suggests a team that knows how to manage games effectively in front of their supporters.


Set-piece situations could also play a role, as Willem II’s matches tend to produce plenty of corners — Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of their last 20 home games and in 37 of their last 40 overall. Offensively, forward Devin Haen has been a standout performer, scoring 18 goals across all competitions, 17 of which came in the league, alongside three assists. His finishing ability could once again prove decisive.


Jong PSV’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Jong PSV approach this fixture after a difficult run of results. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-2 defeat against Vitesse on March 20, marking their third consecutive loss following setbacks against FC Eindhoven (1-2) and FC Den Bosch (1-0). Their only recent bright spot came in a 0-2 victory over Roda JC, but consistency has been lacking in recent weeks.


Across their last five matches, Jong PSV have registered one win, one draw, and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Despite this dip, their season record remains competitive: 15 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their attacking approach often leads to open games — Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 26 of their last 27 Eerste Divisie fixtures, and in 19 of their last 20 away matches.


Jong PSV’s matches are also known for their lively tempo, with Over 0.5 goals at half time in 35 of their last 39 league games and Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 36 of their last 40. This pattern suggests that their encounters rarely stay goalless for long, and that both halves often deliver scoring opportunities.


Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview


When these two sides met earlier in the season, Willem II claimed a narrow 2-1 victory on November 3, 2025. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, with Willem II winning once, drawing twice, and losing twice in their last five meetings. The average scoreline between them stands at 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded for Willem II, reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture.


From a tactical standpoint, Willem II’s strength lies in their structured defense and efficient transitions, while Jong PSV tend to rely on fluid attacking play and youthful energy. However, the visitors’ recent struggles in front of goal could make it difficult to break down a disciplined home side. Given Willem II’s solid home record and Jong PSV’s vulnerability away from home, the hosts appear better positioned to control the tempo and create more clear-cut chances.



  • Willem II are unbeaten in four of their last five matches.

  • Jong PSV have lost three consecutive games.

  • Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 26 of Jong PSV’s last 27 league matches.

  • Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in Willem II’s last 10 home games.

  • Over 7.5 corners have been taken in 19 of Willem II’s last 20 home fixtures.


Willem II vs Jong PSV Prediction and Final Analysis


All indicators point toward a competitive but controlled match in Tilburg. Willem II will be eager to bounce back from their recent defeat and maintain their push for promotion, while Jong PSV will look to end their losing streak. The hosts’ attacking efficiency, combined with their defensive stability, gives them a clear edge. Meanwhile, Jong PSV’s tendency to concede early and struggle away from home could once again prove costly.


Considering the statistical trends — including the high likelihood of goals in Jong PSV’s matches and Willem II’s strong home form — this fixture could feature multiple scoring opportunities, especially in the second half. However, the balance of quality and momentum favors the home side.


Willem II vs Jong PSV prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 50% probability.

Willem II vs Jong PSV - Predictions

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Willem II vs Jong PSV: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Willem II

Jong PSV

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

80%

8

20%

2

3.5

100%

10

0%

0

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

100%

10

0%

0

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Willem II and Jong PSV in Eerste Divisie

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

3

Willem II

38

20

8

10

59:42

68

1.79

W
W
W
W
W
7

Jong PSV

38

17

5

16

66:64

56

1.47

L
W
W
L
L
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Possible Promotion Play-off

Who will win ?

Willem II vs Jong PSV: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Willem II vs Jong PSV be played?
The Eerste Divisie match between Willem II and Jong PSV will be played on April 3, 2026 at 18:00.
Where will Willem II vs Jong PSV be played?
The match between Willem II and Jong PSV will be played at Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg - Netherlands
Who will referee Willem II vs Jong PSV?
The referee for the match will be Rick Sturm.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Willem II vs Jong PSV in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds are: Willem II to win 1.55, draw 4.50, Jong PSV to win 5.00.
What are the betting odds for Willem II vs Jong PSV for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.33 and Under 2.5 at 3.40.
Will both Willem II and Jong PSV score in the Eerste Divisie?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.40, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.75.
What is the most likely correct score for Willem II vs Jong PSV in the Eerste Divisie?
The most likely correct score is 2-1, with odds of 9.
What are the head-to-head results between Willem II and Jong PSV?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Willem II and Jong PSV, Willem II won 1 times, Jong PSV won 2, and 2 ended in a draw.

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