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Prediction published on Apr 9, 2025 3:13 PM by Dario in Germany - Bundesliga | Modified on Apr 9, 2025 3:13 PM
At the Volkswagen-Arena, Ralph Hasenhüttl’s Wolfsburg hosts Zsolt Lőw’s RB Leipzig in the opening match of Bundesliga Matchday 29. The Wolves sit 12th in the table, while Leipzig are chasing a top-four finish from fifth place. For Wolfsburg, the season is essentially wrapped up. Having secured safety with several games to spare, their focus will now shift to planning for next season. The six-point gap from the sixth spot — the final place for a UEFA Conference League qualification — looks too big to overcome with just six games remaining. Their recent form doesn’t inspire confidence either, with three straight defeats suggesting they're already mentally on vacation. Leipzig, on the other hand, still have everything to play for. After being knocked out of the DFB Pokal by Stuttgart in the semifinals, their only remaining goal is securing a Champions League spot. Their 3-1 win over Hoffenheim last weekend, combined with poor results from their top-four rivals, has brought them within just one point of fourth place. From now until the end of the season, every game is a must-win — starting with this crucial away match on April 12.
Wolfsburg suffered a 1-0 defeat away to Union Berlin in their last Bundesliga outing, making it three losses in a row — including back-to-back games without scoring against Heidenheim and Augsburg. Their last win came over a month ago, on March 1st, a 2-1 away victory at Werder Bremen.
At home, Wolfsburg haven’t won in their last five matches, recording four draws and one defeat. Their home record this Bundesliga season stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.64 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per match at the Volkswagen-Arena.
RB Leipzig returned to winning ways with a 3-1 home victory over Hoffenheim, courtesy of goals from Sesko, Baku, and Poulsen. That win ended a mini-slump of two consecutive losses against Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach. With this result, the Red Bulls reignited their Champions League ambitions, now trailing fourth place by just a single point.
However, their away form has been far from impressive. Leipzig are winless in their last 9 Bundesliga away games, with 5 losses and 4 draws — including three goalless stalemates. Their full away record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, scoring 17 goals and conceding 19. A key strength remains their defense, which is currently the fourth-best in the league.
These sides have already met twice this season — once in the league and once in the DFB Pokal, both in Leipzig. The Red Bulls won 1-0 in the cup, while Wolfsburg pulled off a stunning 5-1 league victory.
In their last five Bundesliga meetings at the Volkswagen-Arena, Wolfsburg have the edge with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Both teams averaged 1.2 goals per game in those fixtures.
Tactically, we expect Leipzig to push for all three points in pursuit of a top-four finish, which could leave them exposed to Wolfsburg’s counter-attacks. There’s a strong chance both teams will find the net — as was the case in the reverse fixture.
The Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig prediction of the 29th Bundesliga matchday, according to the BetMines algorithm, predicts a match in which both teams will score at least one goal.
Wolfsburg (4-2-3-1): Grabara; Roerslev, Fischer, Odogu, Maehle; Vranckx, Arnold; Kaminski, Wind, Skov Olsen; Nmecha Coach: Hasenhüttl
RB Leipzig (3-4-1-2): Gulacsi; Geertruida, Bitshiabu, Castello; Baku, Haidara, Kampl, Raum; Xavi; Sesko, Openda Coach: Lőw
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
2
8
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
8
2