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Prediction published on Mar 4, 2026 9:06 PM by Dario in England - FA Cup | Modified on Mar 4, 2026 9:06 PM
The FA Cup fifth-round clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Liverpool promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the weekend. Taking place under the lights at Molineux, this encounter comes just days after Wolves stunned the Reds with a 2-1 victory in the Premier League. Both sides now turn their attention to cup glory, with Wolves aiming to extend their impressive home form and Liverpool seeking redemption after a rare setback.
Wolverhampton Wanderers have shown signs of revival in recent weeks despite their struggles in the league. Their 2-1 win over Liverpool earlier this week was a major confidence boost, marking their third victory in the last five matches across all competitions. In that period, they have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, reflecting a more balanced and resilient approach.
In the FA Cup, Wolves have been clinical, winning both of their matches so far — 6-1 against Shrewsbury and 1-0 over Grimsby Town — with an average of 3.5 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded per game. Their home form has been particularly encouraging, remaining unbeaten in their last three fixtures at Molineux (W2 D1), scoring twice in each of those outings. Interestingly, each of their last four home meetings with Liverpool has produced over 2.5 goals, suggesting another open contest could be on the cards.
Historically, Wolves have struggled against Liverpool, with a head-to-head record of 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 defeats in their last five encounters. However, their recent victory may signal a turning point, especially given their renewed attacking confidence and the energy of their home crowd.
Liverpool enter this tie looking to bounce back from their midweek defeat, which ended a four-match winning streak. Despite that loss, the Reds remain one of the most consistent sides in the competition, having won both of their FA Cup matches this season — 4-1 against Barnsley and 3-0 over Brighton — with identical averages to Wolves: 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Liverpool have recorded 4 wins and 1 defeat, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. They have also been strong starters, having not lost at half time in their last 19 FA Cup matches and winning the first half in 7 of their last 10. The Reds’ attacking consistency is evident — they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 12 matches, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in all of them.
However, Liverpool’s away form has been less convincing. They have taken only 21 points from 14 league games on the road (W6 D3 L5) and have won just five of their last ten away fixtures. Their defensive lapses at Molineux earlier this week will be a concern, and manager Arne Slot will demand a sharper performance to avoid another upset.
This FA Cup encounter is set up as a classic battle between a rejuvenated underdog and a wounded giant. Wolves’ recent performances suggest they are rediscovering their fighting spirit, while Liverpool’s attacking depth ensures they remain dangerous even after a setback. The hosts have scored two or more goals in three of their last four matches, but their defensive record — the worst in the Premier League — means they are always vulnerable at the back.
For Liverpool, the key will be rediscovering their rhythm in the final third. They have been prolific in the FA Cup this season, but their defeat earlier in the week exposed some defensive fragility and a lack of urgency. Given that both teams have scored in each of the last five meetings between these sides, another high-scoring affair seems likely. The combination of Wolves’ attacking momentum and Liverpool’s need to respond could produce an entertaining, end-to-end contest.
Considering the attacking trends of both teams and their recent head-to-head history, this FA Cup tie is expected to deliver goals. Wolves have been scoring freely at home, while Liverpool rarely fail to find the net. The data points strongly toward another open and entertaining match.
Wolves vs Liverpool prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 60% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2