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Prediction published on Jan 8, 2026 12:02 AM by Dario in England - FA Cup | Modified on Jan 8, 2026 12:02 AM
The FA Cup third round brings an intriguing clash as Wrexham host Nottingham Forest at the Racecourse Ground. The Championship side will be eager to test themselves against Premier League opposition, while the visitors aim to avoid an early exit. Both teams come into this encounter on the back of morale-boosting victories, setting the stage for a competitive and open contest. This fixture also marks the first meeting between the two clubs since 1993, adding a nostalgic touch to an already fascinating tie.
Wrexham have been in excellent form, stringing together a series of strong performances across competitions. Their recent 1-2 away win over Derby County on January 4 extended their winning streak to four matches. Over their last five outings, they have recorded four wins and just one defeat, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. The Red Dragons have been particularly consistent in attack, finding the net in each of their last 20 home matches. Their matches have also been entertaining, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last ten fixtures.
At home, Wrexham’s attacking rhythm has been relentless. They have scored in both halves in most of their recent games, with over 0.5 goals at half time in their last ten matches and over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 home fixtures. This offensive consistency makes them a dangerous opponent for any side, regardless of division. However, their defensive record remains an area for improvement, as they have managed only two clean sheets in their last ten matches. Still, their ability to outscore opponents has been their main strength, and they will look to continue that trend against top-flight opposition.
Manager Phil Parkinson will be pleased to welcome back Issa Kabore from international duty, while Sam Smith remains a key attacking threat after scoring in consecutive matches. Despite several injuries, the hosts’ attacking depth and home momentum could make them a tough challenge for their Premier League visitors.
Nottingham Forest arrive at this FA Cup tie looking to build on their 1-2 away victory over West Ham United on January 6. That result ended a four-match losing streak and provided a much-needed confidence boost. Over their last five games, Forest have managed one win and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match. Their struggles have been particularly evident in the first halves of games, having trailed at half time in each of their last three away fixtures and in their last three matches overall.
Despite their inconsistent league form, Forest have shown resilience in cup competitions, remaining unbeaten in their last four FA Cup matches with three wins. Their away record also offers some encouragement, with four victories in their last seven trips. The team’s attacking potential remains high, especially with Morgan Gibbs-White returning to form after scoring the decisive penalty in their last outing. However, they will be without key forward Chris Wood due to injury, while Ibrahim Sangare remains unavailable because of international commitments. Ola Aina’s return from injury provides a timely boost to their defensive options.
Forest’s challenge will be to impose their Premier League quality while avoiding complacency against a confident and free-scoring Wrexham side. Their defensive discipline and ability to control the tempo will be crucial if they are to progress to the next round.
This FA Cup tie promises to be an entertaining and high-energy affair. Wrexham will rely on their attacking momentum and home advantage, while Nottingham Forest will look to assert their top-flight experience. Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in goal-filled matches: Wrexham’s last five home games have produced 19 goals, while Forest’s last five away fixtures have seen 14 goals scored in total. With both sides capable of finding the net but also prone to defensive lapses, the conditions are ideal for an open contest.
Statistically, both teams scoring appears highly probable. Wrexham have seen both teams score in seven of their last ten matches, while Forest have recorded the same in three of their last four. The attacking form of Sam Smith for the hosts and the creative influence of Gibbs-White for the visitors could be decisive factors. Given the balance of probabilities and recent trends, this match could easily deliver goals at both ends and surpass the 2.5-goal mark.
Wrexham vs Nottingham Forest prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Wrexham
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3