The Welsh derby between Wrexham and Swansea City promises to be one of the most intense fixtures of the Championship weekend. Scheduled for Friday, March 13, 2026, this clash brings together two sides separated by just four places in the table but united by fierce local rivalry. The hosts, currently sixth, are fighting to consolidate their position in the promotion play-offs, while the visitors, sitting tenth, are eager to close the gap and keep their own hopes alive. With both teams coming off midweek fixtures, the atmosphere at the Racecourse Ground is expected to be electric.

Wrexham’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Wrexham enter this match looking to bounce back after a 1-2 defeat to Hull City on March 10. Despite that setback, their overall form remains solid, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. The Red Dragons have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded in that period, showing both attacking flair and some defensive vulnerability. Over the course of the Championship season, they have recorded 15 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, averaging 1.5 goals per game while conceding 1.3.

Home advantage has been a major factor in Wrexham’s campaign. They have scored at least once in 22 of their last 23 home matches, and goals have been a constant feature at the Racecourse Ground. In fact, over 1.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 11 home league games, while the second half has produced at least one goal in 13 consecutive home fixtures. These numbers underline their attacking consistency and the likelihood of an open contest when they play in front of their fans.

• Ranking: 6th in the Championship


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.5 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.3 per match


• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 18 of their last 20 league games

After two consecutive defeats, Wrexham’s main objective will be to rediscover their winning rhythm. Their attacking record at home suggests they have every chance to do so, especially in a derby that means so much to their supporters.

Swansea City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Swansea City approach this encounter with renewed confidence after a 2-1 away victory against Portsmouth on March 10. That result ended a short winless run and kept them within touching distance of the top six. Over their last five matches, the Swans have achieved three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Their season record stands at 15 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, with an even balance between goals scored (1.2) and conceded (1.2).

However, their away form remains a concern. Swansea have lost seven of their last ten away league matches, managing only five wins on the road all season. This inconsistency away from home has been the main obstacle to their play-off ambitions. Despite their attacking potential, they often struggle to maintain control in hostile environments, and facing Wrexham’s strong home record will be a significant test.

• Ranking: 10th in the Championship


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals scored: 1.2 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Only 5 away league wins this season

For Swansea, this derby represents both an opportunity and a challenge. A win would narrow the gap to the play-off zone, but their recent away struggles suggest they will need to be at their very best to overcome a motivated Wrexham side.

Wrexham vs Swansea City Analysis and Prediction

Friday’s Welsh derby is more than just a battle for points—it’s a clash of pride and ambition. The last head-to-head meeting between these sides ended 2-1 in favor of Swansea on December 19, 2025, but much has changed since then. Wrexham’s rise through the Championship has been marked by resilience and attacking intent, while Swansea’s inconsistency on the road continues to hold them back.

Statistically, both teams tend to produce entertaining matches. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 56% of their recent fixtures, and both teams have found the net in 56% of games. Given Wrexham’s strong home scoring record and Swansea’s tendency to concede away, another high-scoring encounter could be on the cards. The Red Dragons’ ability to score in nearly every home match gives them a slight edge, especially considering their need to respond after two defeats.

With Wrexham sitting sixth and Swansea tenth, the stakes are high. The hosts will rely on their attacking momentum and home support, while the visitors will aim to exploit any defensive lapses. However, the balance of probabilities favors the home side, who have been more consistent overall and particularly strong in front of their fans.

Wrexham vs Swansea City prediction by BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 47% probability.