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York City vs Crawley Town Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Carabao Cup 03-08-2026

York City

6:30 PM

August 3, 2026

Crawley Town

Dwight Yorke Stadium
Thomas Parsons
overcast clouds °C

Prediction published on Aug 1, 2026 9:03 PM by Dario in England - Carabao Cup | Modified on Aug 1, 2026 9:03 PM

York City and Crawley Town meet on Monday in a preliminary-round match that will determine the final team to enter the first round of the 2026-27 EFL Cup, also known as the Carabao Cup. The League Two opponents arrive at York Community Stadium with inconsistent recent records, making this an important early test for both squads. The winner will advance to the Southern Section of the first round and earn an away fixture against Watford. York are preparing for League Two after winning the 2025-26 National League, while Crawley are looking to improve after finishing the previous League Two campaign only one point above the bottom two relegated teams. With a place in the next stage at stake, neither side can afford to treat this fixture as another preparatory match.

York City Recent Form and Key Statistics

York City enter the new campaign after earning promotion by winning the 2025-26 National League. Their preparations have included six friendly matches, but the results have underlined the work still required before competitive action begins. The Minstermen recorded two victories, one draw and three defeats across those six games, with all three losses occurring during their final five friendlies. Their most recent five-match record stands at one win, one draw and three defeats.

The latest setback was a 2-1 defeat against Peterborough United on July 28, 2026. York’s recent matches have nevertheless produced plenty of attacking activity. They averaged 2.4 goals scored per game across their last five fixtures, showing that the team has regularly found ways to create and convert opportunities. However, an average of 2.6 goals conceded over the same period highlights the defensive vulnerability that has accompanied that output.

Five of York’s six preparatory fixtures featured goals from both teams, reinforcing the impression that their matches have often been open at both ends. Another statistic shows that two of their last ten games finished without a goal, but the stronger recent pattern has involved frequent scoring and regular concessions. York therefore approach this cup tie with attacking numbers that offer encouragement, although greater control without the ball may be necessary against another League Two side.

Crawley Town Recent Form and Key Statistics

Crawley Town endured a difficult 2025-26 League Two season and eventually finished only one point clear of the bottom two relegated clubs. Their final five league matches produced no victories, with three draws and two defeats. That lack of momentum has continued into their preparations for the new campaign, as the Red Devils won only one of their three friendlies and lost the other two.

Their latest result was a 1-0 defeat against Reading on July 31, 2026, which followed another loss and left Crawley heading into this preliminary-round contest without a win in two matches. Across their last five outings, the visitors have registered one victory, two draws and two defeats. They averaged one goal scored and 1.4 conceded per match during that sequence, giving them a more restrained recent scoring profile than York but still showing a negative balance between goals for and against.

Crawley’s first-half record is another notable feature of their form. They have failed to win at half time in each of their last 17 matches, while that sequence extends to 20 consecutive away fixtures. Their games have also generated high corner totals with remarkable regularity: more than 7.5 corners were taken in 36 of the last 38 Crawley matches, and more than 8.5 were recorded in 29 of the last 32. At the same time, three of their last ten overall fixtures and three of their last ten away matches ended without a goal, illustrating that their recent schedule has included several low-scoring occasions.

York City vs Crawley Town Match Analysis

The available form points to a finely poised EFL Cup preliminary-round contest. York have produced the stronger attacking average over their last five matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game, but their average of 2.6 conceded shows why their results have remained uneven. Crawley’s corresponding averages of one goal scored and 1.4 conceded indicate a less expansive run, although their defensive record has still not been strong enough to generate consistent victories.

Recent results provide neither team with a dependable foundation. York City have lost three of their last five games, including the 2-1 reverse against Peterborough United, while Crawley Town have been beaten in their two most recent fixtures. The hosts’ five friendlies featuring goals for both sides offer one possible indication of how the match could develop, but Crawley’s sequence of scoreless games demonstrates that a more cautious contest cannot be dismissed from the factual record.

The last recorded head-to-head meeting ended 2-2 on March 25, 2016. Across the supplied head-to-head summary from York’s perspective, the Minstermen have one win, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Those figures give Crawley a narrow historical advantage within that sample, though the immediate focus is on two squads trying to move beyond inconsistent preparations.

York’s attacking production and home status are balanced by their high concession rate, whereas Crawley must overcome a prolonged inability to lead at the interval, particularly away from home. The listed Carabao Cup ranking places York City first and Crawley Town second, while the supplied match probabilities assign York a 51% chance of winning, compared with 20% for a draw and 29% for Crawley. However the contest unfolds, qualification provides a clear incentive: the successful team will move into the Southern Section and secure the opportunity to visit Watford in the first round.

York City vs Crawley Town - Predictions

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York City vs Crawley Town: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

York City

Crawley Town

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

40%

4

60%

6

2.5

20%

2

80%

8

70%

7

30%

3

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

70%

7

30%

3

4.5

70%

7

30%

3

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of York City and Crawley Town in Carabao Cup

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York City vs Crawley Town: Frequently asked questions

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When will York City vs Crawley Town be played?
The Carabao Cup match between York City and Crawley Town will be played on August 3, 2026 at 18:30.
Where will York City vs Crawley Town be played?
The match between York City and Crawley Town will be played at Dwight Yorke Stadium, Dwight Yorke Stadium - England
Who will referee York City vs Crawley Town?
The referee for the match will be Thomas Parsons.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for York City vs Crawley Town in the Carabao Cup?
The odds are: York City to win 1.66, draw 3.90, Crawley Town to win 5.00.
What are the betting odds for York City vs Crawley Town for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Carabao Cup?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.80 and Under 2.5 at 2.00.
Will both York City and Crawley Town score in the Carabao Cup?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.80, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 1.95.
What is the most likely correct score for York City vs Crawley Town in the Carabao Cup?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 7.5.
What are the head-to-head results between York City and Crawley Town?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between York City and Crawley Town, York City won 1 times, Crawley Town won 2, and 2 ended in a draw.

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