Tools
Žalgiris
7 - 2
FT
Dinamo Tbilisi
Prediction published on Jul 28, 2026 8:09 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Jul 28, 2026 8:09 PM
Žalgiris welcome Dinamo Tbilisi for the second leg of their Europa Conference League contest with a substantial three-goal deficit to overturn. Dinamo established control of the tie by winning the first meeting 3-0 on July 23, 2026, scoring all three goals inside the opening 30 minutes before protecting their clean sheet for the remainder of the game. That result creates sharply contrasting objectives for the return fixture in Vilnius: the hosts must attack in search of a major comeback, while the visitors can focus on managing their advantage. The wider form data nevertheless suggests that the contest may be more competitive than the first leg. Žalgiris have won four of their last five matches and average 2.2 goals scored during that sequence, while Dinamo have lost twice across their latest five fixtures but continue to hold a clear advantage in the tie.
Žalgiris responded to their first-leg disappointment by defeating Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 on July 27, 2026. That victory underlined their attacking potential, but it also continued a concerning defensive pattern. The home side have conceded in five consecutive games and in four of their previous five home matches, an issue that could become particularly important while they are forced to chase the tie.
Their recent record remains positive despite the heavy defeat in Tbilisi. Across the last five matches, Žalgiris have registered four wins and one loss, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game and conceding 1.6. Their Europa Conference League campaign has produced two victories and one defeat, with averages of 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 allowed per match. Those numbers illustrate both sides of their current profile: they have shown enough attacking output to threaten a response, yet their defensive average leaves little margin for error.
The first-leg result was Žalgiris’ first loss in seven games, making the scale of the 3-0 defeat especially striking. Their task now requires patience as well as urgency. An early goal would reduce the gap and increase the pressure on Dinamo, but conceding would leave the hosts needing an even more demanding recovery. With the team already averaging more than two goals across its latest five outings, the attacking numbers offer some encouragement. However, turning that production into a three-goal comeback while remaining secure at the other end represents a much more difficult challenge.
Dinamo Tbilisi travel with complete control of the aggregate situation after their emphatic first-leg performance. Three goals in the opening half-hour gave them a commanding platform, while keeping Žalgiris scoreless for the remaining 60 minutes demonstrated that they could defend the advantage once it had been established. They do not need to reproduce the same aggressive opening in the return match; their central objective is to prevent the hosts from building momentum.
Dinamo’s most recent result was a 1-0 defeat against Guria on July 26, 2026. Their latest five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and only 0.6 conceded per fixture. Although the sequence is mixed in terms of results, the defensive average is stronger than that of their opponents and supports the approach required for protecting a three-goal lead.
In the Europa Conference League, Dinamo have recorded two wins and one defeat. They average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded in the competition, meaning their attacking average matches that of Žalgiris while their defensive figure is one goal lower. They have also avoided defeat in six of their last eight games, according to the available form information. One additional away statistic shows that no goals were scored in three of Dinamo’s previous ten matches on the road. With qualification rather than another emphatic victory as the immediate priority, controlling the pace and limiting clear opportunities will be especially valuable.
The decisive factor in this Europa Conference League preview is the match state created by Dinamo’s 3-0 first-leg victory. Žalgiris cannot afford a passive performance because they need at least three goals to erase the deficit. Dinamo, by contrast, can progress without winning the return fixture. This imbalance should influence how the contest develops, particularly if the opening stages pass without a goal for the home side.
Žalgiris’ recent attacking record gives them a foundation for applying pressure. They have scored 11 goals across their last five matches based on the stated average, and the 3-2 victory over Hegelmann Litauen provided an immediate response after the loss in Tbilisi. The concern is that pushing forward may expose the same defensive vulnerability seen during a run of five successive matches with at least one goal conceded. Even one Dinamo goal would significantly increase the scale of the comeback required.
For the visitors, the priority is likely to be protecting the spaces that appear as Žalgiris commit more players to their recovery attempt. Dinamo’s first-leg clean sheet and their average of only 0.6 goals conceded across the last five games indicate that they have recently been difficult to break down. Their 1-0 loss to Guria means they do not arrive on the back of a victory, but the aggregate score gives that result limited relevance to the basic demands of this second leg.
The return match therefore sets up as a test of Žalgiris’ attacking strength against Dinamo Tbilisi’s ability to manage a commanding advantage. The hosts’ four wins from five provide evidence of resilience, yet the head-to-head record currently stands at one defeat, no goals scored and three conceded from the Žalgiris perspective. To revive the tie, they must improve dramatically on that first meeting while avoiding another costly defensive lapse. Dinamo enter with the simpler equation: remain composed, resist the expected pressure and use their three-goal cushion to keep control of the contest.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Žalgiris
Dinamo Tbilisi
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
3
7
4
6
3.5
4
6
9
1
4.5
6
4
9
1