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Žalgiris
5:00 PM
July 16, 2026
Petrovac
Prediction published on Jul 14, 2026 5:05 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa Conference League | Modified on Jul 14, 2026 5:05 PM
The UEFA Europa Conference League qualifiers continue with the second leg of the first-round tie between Žalgiris Vilnius and OFK Petrovac. The Lithuanian side return home with a strong 3-1 advantage from the first leg in Montenegro, putting them in a commanding position to progress. For the visitors, the task is clear: they must attack from the start if they are to overturn the deficit, which could make this an open and entertaining encounter.
Žalgiris have been in excellent form recently, losing just once in their last six matches across all competitions. Their 3-1 victory in Petrovac was another demonstration of their attacking efficiency, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over their last five games. In the Conference League, they have recorded one win from one match, scoring three goals and conceding one.
At home, Žalgiris have been particularly strong. They have won their last two home fixtures, 3-2 against Riteriai and 3-0 against Panevezys. Moreover, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 12 home matches, showing their tendency to start games on the front foot. Their attacking rhythm and confidence in front of their supporters make them heavy favorites to finish the job in this second leg.
Petrovac face an uphill battle after losing the first leg 1-3 at home. Their recent form has been less convincing, with no wins in their last five matches (3 draws and 2 defeats). They have averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game during that period, highlighting their struggles in attack.
In the Conference League, Petrovac’s record stands at one defeat from one match, with one goal scored and three conceded. Their away form also raises concerns: under 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half of each of their last 11 away games, while over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of their last 10 away fixtures. This pattern suggests that their matches often open up after the break, which could again be the case in Vilnius.
This second leg is expected to follow a similar pattern to the first. Žalgiris will likely look to control possession and exploit spaces left by a Petrovac side that must attack. The hosts have shown both defensive solidity and attacking sharpness, while the visitors will need to take risks to have any chance of progressing. Given the first-leg scoreline, the match could feature plenty of goalmouth action, especially in the second half when Petrovac push forward.
With Žalgiris already in mid-season rhythm and Petrovac still finding their competitive footing, the Lithuanian champions appear well-positioned to secure another victory. However, the visitors’ need to score could make the Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals markets particularly appealing for bettors.
Based on the available data and recent performances, Žalgiris hold a clear advantage with a 58% probability of winning, compared to 22% for a draw and 19% for a Petrovac win. The first leg’s 3-1 result and both teams’ scoring trends suggest another open contest in Vilnius.
BetMines prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 49% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Žalgiris
Petrovac
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
5
5
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0