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Prediction published on Aug 21, 2026 7:05 AM by Dario in Venezuela - Primera Division | Modified on Aug 21, 2026 7:05 AM
Zamora Fútbol Club host UCV in a Venezuelan Primera Division fixture on August 22, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 local time at Estadio Rafael Agustín Tovar in Barinas. Both teams enter the contest after difficult runs, with each recording one victory and four defeats across their last five matches. Zamora are ranked 14th in the competition, while UCV occupy 11th place. With the two sides seeking a response to recent setbacks, this match brings together teams under pressure to improve their results.
Zamora Fútbol Club approach this home game after losing 3-1 against Atlético Barinas on August 19. That defeat continued an unconvincing sequence in which Zamora have collected only one win from five matches, losing the other four. During that period, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 goals conceded per game.
Their broader Primera Division record stands at five victories, five draws and seven defeats. Across those league matches, Zamora have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.4 conceded. Those numbers highlight the contrast between a relatively modest season-long goals-against average and the heavier rate of goals conceded during their most recent five fixtures.
One of the clearest trends associated with the home side concerns the overall scoring range of their league games. Under 3.5 total goals has landed in 25 of Zamora's last 27 Primera Division matches. This is an important indicator for the Zamora Fútbol Club vs UCV preview because it shows that, despite Zamora's recent defensive difficulties, their league fixtures have usually remained below four total goals.
The available win probabilities give Zamora a 48% chance of victory, compared with 28% for the draw and 24% for a UCV win. That makes the hosts the most likely individual match winner according to those figures, although their sequence of four defeats in five games means their recent form offers little room for complacency.
UCV also arrive following a defeat, having lost 0-1 against Caracas on August 15. Their last-five record mirrors Zamora's: one victory, no draws and four losses. UCV have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per match over that span, so both clubs have recently combined limited attacking output with a high rate of defeats.
Across the Primera Division season, UCV have registered nine wins, five draws and nine losses. Their scoring and conceding averages are identical at 1.5 goals per game. Those season figures are stronger offensively than their latest result, but their defensive sequence remains a concern: UCV have conceded at least once in 20 of their last 21 Primera Division matches.
The away side have also struggled to establish a half-time advantage. UCV have not won at half-time in their last 20 matches overall, including each of their last 17 league fixtures. Moreover, they have been behind at the interval in six of their last ten matches and in six of their last ten away games. These repeated first-half results underline how difficult it has been for UCV to take control before the break.
There is nevertheless a consistent second-half scoring pattern around their fixtures. At least one goal has been scored after half-time in 20 of UCV's last 22 matches. This statistic refers to total goals in those games rather than goals scored specifically by UCV, but it suggests that the period after the interval has regularly produced movement on the scoreboard.
The recent records leave little separation between the teams. Both have lost four of their previous five matches, while neither has averaged more than one goal scored per game during that sequence. Zamora's 0.8 scoring average is marginally lower than UCV's 1.0, although the hosts have also conceded more frequently, with a recent average of 2.4 compared with 2.0 for the visitors.
The head-to-head record is equally balanced. From the supplied summary of Zamora Fútbol Club vs UCV meetings, Zamora have two wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.4 goals both scored and conceded. Their latest encounter finished 2-1 on February 28, 2026. While that result contained three goals, the wider statistical picture for this fixture points toward a competitive contest without a clear basis for expecting either side to dominate.
The goal-market probabilities are closely divided. Both Teams To Score is assessed at 49% for Yes and 51% for No, while the Under 2.5 goals option carries a 54% probability against 46% for Over 2.5. The available decimal odds also list Under 2.5 at 1.70 and Over 2.5 at 2.10. These numbers show only a moderate lean toward a lower-scoring match rather than an overwhelming one.
Several factors support that direction. Zamora have scored fewer than one goal per game across their latest five outings, UCV have managed exactly one per match over the same sample, and Zamora's long-term league trend strongly favors games ending with fewer than four goals. UCV's record of conceding in 20 of 21 league matches provides a route for the hosts to score, but it does not by itself imply that the fixture will develop into a high-scoring contest.
UCV's second-half pattern is another key consideration. A goal after the interval has appeared in 20 of their last 22 games, yet their inability to win at half-time across long overall and league sequences suggests that early control has been elusive. The match could therefore remain tight before opening slightly later, while still staying within a restrained final total. Based on the available form, scoring averages and market probabilities, Under 2.5 goals is the most coherent conclusion among the supplied prediction options.
Zamora Fútbol Club vs UCV prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Zamora Fútbol Club
UCV
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
8
2
7
3