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Žilina
6:30 PM
July 16, 2026
Hajduk Split
Prediction published on Jul 15, 2026 12:02 AM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Jul 15, 2026 12:02 AM
The second leg of the UEFA Europa League first qualifying round between Žilina and Hajduk Split promises to be a decisive encounter. The Croatian side travel to Slovakia with a comfortable 2-0 advantage from the first leg, a result that reflected their dominance throughout the match. For Žilina, the task is clear but daunting: they must overturn a two-goal deficit to keep their European hopes alive. The home crowd will expect a spirited response, but Hajduk Split’s recent form suggests that the visitors are well positioned to finish the job and progress to the next round.
Žilina enter this match under pressure after a difficult run of results. Their 2-0 defeat in Split on July 9 exposed several weaknesses, particularly in attack, where they managed only one shot on target. The Slovakian side have failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions, recording three draws and two losses. During this period, they have averaged just 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.4 goals on average.
In the Europa League, Žilina’s campaign has started poorly, with one defeat from one match, scoring no goals and conceding two. However, there is a small positive to build on: they have not lost at half time in 18 of their last 20 home matches, showing that they often start games with focus and resilience. Their challenge will be to maintain that intensity over 90 minutes against a confident opponent.
Žilina’s head-to-head record against Hajduk Split is evenly balanced overall, with one win, one draw, and one loss. However, the most recent meeting clearly favored the Croatians, and the hosts will need a significant improvement to change the narrative in this second leg.
Hajduk Split arrive in excellent form, having won the first leg 2-0 and extending their winning streak to five consecutive matches. Their performances have been consistent both in preseason and competitive fixtures, combining attacking efficiency with defensive solidity. Over their last five games, they have averaged 2.8 goals scored per match while conceding only 0.6 goals.
In the Europa League, Hajduk Split’s record so far is perfect: one win, no draws, and no defeats, with two goals scored and none conceded. Their ability to control games and limit opponents’ chances has been a defining feature of their recent run. Even away from home, they have shown discipline, with Under 0.5 goals scored in only three of their last fifteen away matches, indicating that they often find the net on their travels.
The Croatian side’s momentum is undeniable. Having already built a solid lead, they can approach this second leg with confidence. Their recent performances suggest that they are capable of both defending their advantage and adding to their tally if opportunities arise. The team’s current run of five straight wins, including clean sheets in each, underlines their balance between attack and defense.
This second leg is set up as a classic clash between a side chasing the game and another looking to protect a lead. Žilina will likely need to take more risks, pushing players forward in search of early goals. However, that approach could leave them vulnerable to counterattacks from Hajduk Split, whose recent form suggests they can exploit open spaces effectively.
Historically, matches between these two teams have been low-scoring, with an average of 0.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game for Žilina in head-to-head encounters. Yet, given Hajduk Split’s current attacking rhythm, another goal or two from the visitors would not be surprising. The Slovakian side’s lack of sharpness in front of goal remains a concern, especially against a defense that has not conceded in its last five outings.
With the aggregate score at 2-0, Hajduk Split can afford to play with patience and control. If they maintain their recent standards, they should be able to secure qualification comfortably. Žilina’s best hope lies in an early breakthrough to unsettle their opponents, but the statistics and momentum clearly favor the visitors.
Žilina vs Hajduk Split prediction by BetMines:
The prediction points to a Hajduk Split win (2) with a probability of 40%. A draw (X) stands at 24%, while a Žilina win (1) is estimated at 36%. Given the form and first-leg result, Hajduk Split remain the logical favorites to advance.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Žilina
Hajduk Split
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
4
6
2.5
6
4
7
3
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
9
1
9
1