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Burnley - Derby County: stats and betting predictions

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Championship

Burnley

D
W
D
L
L

1 - 1

FT

Derby County

D
D
L
L
D
Turf Moor
Stephen Martin

Match Stats

Burnley

Derby County

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

52 %

Ball Possession

48 %

Corner

6

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

0.49

Expected Goals (xG)

Expected Goals (xG) shows how dangerous a team's chances were. Each shot gets a value based on details such as distance, angle and shot type. Adding those values gives the team's total xG for the match.

1.11

6

Total Shots

16

2

Ongoal Shots

6

26

Dangerous Attacks

20

9

Fouls

12

344

Accurate Passes

314

1

Big Chances Created

1

1

Big Chances Missed

1

Corner

4

Remplacement

5

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

Corner

6

Remplacement

4

Yellow cards

2

Red cards

0

Match Data

Burnley

Derby County

2nd half 1-1

90'+3'

Mohammed Fuseini 1-1

Rhian Brewster 

1-1

substitution

Oliver Sonne

Lucas Pires

89'

87'

Corey Blackett-Taylor 

yellowcard
yellowcard

Ugo Raghouber

86'

82'

Corey Blackett-Taylor 

Charlie Taylor

substitution

78'

Rhian Brewster 

David Ozoh

substitution
substitution

Andréas Hountondji

Jacob Bruun Larsen

73'

substitution

Jamie Vardy

Zeki Amdouni

73'

yellowcard

Josh Laurent

68'

67'

David Ozoh

yellowcard

66'

Oscar Fraulo

Alex Mowatt

substitution

66'

Mohammed Fuseini

Ryan Hedges

substitution
substitution

Ugo Raghouber

Reo Hatate

61'

substitution

Largie Ramazani

Marcus Edwards

61'

yellowcard

Anel Ahmedhodzic 

56'

1st half 1-0

Zeki Amdouni 1-0

Lucas Pires

1-0

34'

yellowcard

Igor Julio

31'

Who will win ?

Burnley vs Derby County - Predictions

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Standings of Burnley and Derby County in Championship

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

1

Middlesbrough

12

7

4

1

27:17

25

2.08

D
W
W
D
W
2

Swansea City

12

7

2

3

16:13

23

1.92

W
W
W
L
L
3

West Ham United

12

6

4

2

32:15

22

1.83

D
D
W
W
L
4

Wolverhampton Wanderers

12

6

3

3

20:16

21

1.75

L
L
W
D
W
5

West Bromwich Albion

12

6

3

3

16:13

21

1.75

L
L
W
W
D
6

Southampton

12

7

3

2

24:12

20

1.67

L
W
W
D
W
7

Birmingham City

12

5

5

2

20:12

20

1.67

D
W
W
W
L
8

Queens Park Rangers

12

5

5

2

20:12

20

1.67

D
D
W
L
W
9

Stoke City

12

6

2

4

18:16

20

1.67

W
W
L
W
D
10

Blackburn Rovers

12

5

3

4

19:16

18

1.5

D
W
W
L
W
11

Portsmouth

12

5

3

4

16:15

18

1.5

L
W
W
D
W
12

Sheffield United

12

4

4

4

16:15

16

1.33

L
W
L
W
D
13

Millwall

12

4

3

5

19:20

15

1.25

D
W
L
D
L
14

Bristol City

12

4

3

5

12:15

15

1.25

W
D
L
L
D
15

Lincoln City

12

4

3

5

13:20

15

1.25

L
L
L
D
W
16

Cardiff City

12

3

5

4

19:17

14

1.17

W
L
W
D
W
17

Wrexham

12

3

5

4

15:18

14

1.17

W
D
L
W
L
18

Bolton Wanderers

12

4

2

6

16:23

14

1.17

W
L
W
D
L
19

Charlton Athletic

12

3

5

4

11:18

14

1.17

L
D
D
L
L
20

Norwich City

12

4

0

8

20:22

12

1

L
L
L
L
W
21

Watford

12

3

2

7

10:20

11

0.92

L
L
L
W
L
22

Burnley

12

1

5

6

17:25

8

0.67

D
W
D
L
L
23

Derby County

12

1

4

7

10:21

7

0.58

D
D
L
L
D
24

Preston North End

12

1

2

9

10:25

5

0.42

D
L
L
L
D
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Last Matches

Burnley

First half results

3 Win
2 Draw
0 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 2:00 PM

Lincoln City

1-1

Burnley

Championship

10/16/2026 7:00 PM

Burnley

1-1

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Championship

10/13/2026 6:45 PM

Burnley

1-0

Charlton Athletic

Championship

10/10/2026 2:00 PM

Watford

0-3

Burnley

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Burnley

1-0

Derby County
Scored 7
Avg 1.4
Conceded 2
Avg 0.4
Burnley

Final results

1 Win
2 Draw
2 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 2:00 PM

Lincoln City

4-1

Burnley

Championship

10/16/2026 7:00 PM

Burnley

1-2

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Championship

10/13/2026 6:45 PM

Burnley

2-2

Charlton Athletic

Championship

10/10/2026 2:00 PM

Watford

0-4

Burnley

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Burnley

1-1

Derby County
Scored 9
Avg 1.8
Conceded 9
Avg 1.8
Derby County

First half results

2 Win
1 Draw
2 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 11:30 AM

Sheffield United

0-1

Derby County

Championship

10/17/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

0-0

Stoke City

Championship

10/14/2026 6:45 PM

Queens Park Rangers

3-0

Derby County

Championship

10/10/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

1-0

Wrexham

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Burnley

1-0

Derby County
Scored 2
Avg 0.4
Conceded 4
Avg 0.8
Derby County

Final results

0 Win
3 Draw
2 Loss

Championship

10/24/2026 11:30 AM

Sheffield United

1-1

Derby County

Championship

10/17/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

0-1

Stoke City

Championship

10/14/2026 6:45 PM

Queens Park Rangers

4-1

Derby County

Championship

10/10/2026 2:00 PM

Derby County

1-1

Wrexham

Championship

09/19/2026 2:00 PM

Burnley

1-1

Derby County
Scored 4
Avg 0.8
Conceded 8
Avg 1.6

Burnley vs Derby County: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Burnley

Derby County

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

30%

3

70%

7

60%

6

40%

4

3.5

50%

5

50%

5

90%

9

10%

1

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Burnley is 42%. The probability of a draw between Burnley and Derby County is 26%. The probability of winning for Derby County is 31%

The probability of both teams scoring is 53%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 47%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 48%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 52%

In the last match on 10/24/2026, Burnley lost to Lincoln City with a score of 4-1

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Burnley vs Derby County: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Burnley – Derby County according to BetMines?
1: 42%
X: 26%
2: 31%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Burnley – Derby County?
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Burnley – Derby County?
Yes: 53%
No: 47%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Burnley – Derby County?
1) 1-1 (12.45%)
2) 1-0 (10.45%)
3) 2-1 (8.89%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Burnley – Derby County?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 73%

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