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Estonia - Italy: stats and betting predictions

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WC Qualification Europe  -  Group Stage

Estonia

L
L
L
L
D

1 - 3

FT

Italy

W
L
W
D
W
Sportland Arena, Tallinn
S. Gözübüyük

Match Stats

Estonia

Italy

Corner

0

Remplacement

7

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

36 %

Ball Possession

64 %

Corner

8

Remplacement

7

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

2

Total Shots

24

1

Ongoal Shots

9

14

Dangerous Attacks

47

22

Fouls

9

242

Accurate Passes

506

0

Big Chances Created

0

0

Big Chances Missed

0

Corner

0

Remplacement

7

Yellow cards

4

Red cards

0

Corner

8

Remplacement

7

Yellow cards

3

Red cards

0

Match Data

Estonia

Italy

2nd half 1-3

yellowcard

Vlasiy Sinyavskiy

87'

84'

Andrea Cambiaso

yellowcard
substitution

Karel Mustmaa

Rocco Shein

82'

77'

Bryan Cristante

Mateo Retegui

substitution

77'

Davide Frattesi

Nicolò Barella

substitution

Rauno Sappinen
1-3

76'

74'

Pio Esposito
0-3

72'

Alessandro Bastoni

yellowcard

62'

Andrea Cambiaso

Riccardo Orsolini

substitution

62'

Leonardo Spinazzola

Giacomo Raspadori

substitution
substitution

Rauno Sappinen

Alex Tamm

62'

substitution

Karol Mets 

Märten Kuusk

62'

yellowcard

Rasmus Peetson 

58'

substitution

Michael Schjönning-Larsen

Kevor Palumets

46'

substitution

Vlasiy Sinyavskiy

Joseph Saliste

46'

1st half 0-2

yellowcard

Kevor Palumets

41'

38'

Mateo Retegui
0-2

30'

Mateo Retegui

missed_penalty
yellowcard

Märten Kuusk

29'

15'

Pio Esposito

Moise Kean

substitution

12'

Nicolò Barella

yellowcard

4'

Moise Kean
0-1

Who will win ?

Estonia vs Italy - Predictions

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Odds

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Standings of Estonia and Italy in WC Qualification Europe

Group Stage - Group I - Ranking

Team

1

Norway

8

8

0

0

37:5

24

3

W
W
W
W
W
2

Italy

8

6

0

2

21:12

18

2.25

W
W
W
W
L
3

Israel

8

4

0

4

19:20

12

1.5

W
L
L
L
W
4

Estonia

8

1

1

6

8:21

4

0.5

L
L
L
D
L
5

Moldova

8

0

1

7

5:32

1

0.13

L
L
D
L
L
Final Tournament
Play-off

Last Matches

Estonia

First half results

1 Win
3 Draw
1 Loss

WC Qualification Europe

14/10/2025 16:00

Estonia

1-0

Moldova

WC Qualification Europe

11/10/2025 18:45

Estonia

0-2

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

05/09/2025 18:45

Italy

0-0

Estonia

WC Qualification Europe

09/06/2025 18:45

Estonia

0-0

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

06/06/2025 18:45

Estonia

1-1

Israel
Scored 2
Avg 0.4
Conceded 3
Avg 0.6
Estonia

Final results

0 Win
1 Draw
4 Loss

WC Qualification Europe

14/10/2025 16:00

Estonia

1-1

Moldova

WC Qualification Europe

11/10/2025 18:45

Estonia

1-3

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

05/09/2025 18:45

Italy

5-0

Estonia

WC Qualification Europe

09/06/2025 18:45

Estonia

0-1

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

06/06/2025 18:45

Estonia

1-3

Israel
Scored 3
Avg 0.6
Conceded 13
Avg 2.6
Italy

First half results

2 Win
3 Draw
0 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

0-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-0

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-0

Italy
Scored 2
Avg 0.4
Conceded 0
Avg 0.0
Italy

Final results

3 Win
1 Draw
1 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

2-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-4

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-2

Italy
Scored 7
Avg 1.4
Conceded 5
Avg 1.0

Estonia vs Italy: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Estonia

Italy

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

1

90%

9

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

10%

1

90%

9

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Match preview

Estonia and Italy will face each other on 11/10/2025 at 18:45 at Sportland Arena, Tallinn stadium (Sportland Arena). The match is part of WC Qualification Europe. The referee for the match is S. Gözübüyük.

The probability of winning for Estonia is 16%. The probability of a draw between Estonia and Italy is 23%. The probability of winning for Italy is 61%

The probability of both teams scoring is 38%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 62%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 38%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 62%

In the last match on 14/10/2025, Estonia drew with Moldova with a score of 1-1

See more

Estonia vs Italy: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
What are the 1X2 probabilities for Estonia – Italy according to BetMines?
1: 16%
X: 23%
2: 61%
What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Estonia – Italy?
Over 2.5: 38%
Under 2.5: 62%
What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Estonia – Italy?
Yes: 38%
No: 62%
What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Estonia – Italy?
1) 0-1 (16.32%)
2) 0-2 (13.26%)
3) 0-0 (9.64%)
What is the BetMines prediction for Estonia – Italy?
According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the BTTS market is No, with a probability of 62%

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