What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Germany – Italy?

Over 2.5: 54%</br>Under 2.5: 46%

What is the BetMines prediction for Germany – Italy?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 79%

Germany vs Italy: match statistics and data

12 °C

UEFA Nations League - Quarter-finals

Germany

3 - 3

Italy

Signal Iduna Park

Szymon Marciniak

Match Stats

Germany

Italy

57 %

Ball Possession

43 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

489

Accurate Passes

346

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Germany

Italy

2nd half 3-3

90'+9'

Destiny Udogie

90'+5'

Giacomo Raspadori
3-3

90'+4'

Mattia Zaccagni

85'

Lorenzo Lucca

Moise Kean

85'

Mattia Zaccagni

Samuele Ricci

Tim Kleindienst

79'

Alessandro Bastoni

Robert Andrich

Jamal Musiala

77'

Yann Bisseck

Antonio Rüdiger

77'

75'

Giovanni Di Lorenzo

69'

Moise Kean
3-2

68'

Giacomo Raspadori

Sandro Tonali

Karim Adeyemi

68'

Karim Adeyemi

Leroy Sané

63'

Nadiem Amiri

Leon Goretzka

63'

Pascal Groß

Angelo Stiller

63'

49'

Moise Kean
3-1

46'

Davide Frattesi

Daniel Maldini

46'

Matteo Politano

Federico Gatti

1st half 3-0

Tim Kleindienst
3-0

45'

Jamal Musiala
2-0

36'

Joshua Kimmich
1-0

30'

29'

Alessandro Buongiorno

Angelo Stiller

22'

21'

Federico Gatti

Who will win ?

Germany vs Italy - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Germany and Italy in UEFA Nations League

League D - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Malta	0:0	-	-
2 TBC	0:0	-	-
3 Andorra	0:0	-	-
4 Gibraltar	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

League D - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Azerbaijan	0:0	-	-
2 Liechtenstein	0:0	-	-
3 Lithuania	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

League B - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Austria	0:0	-	-
2 Republic of Ireland	0:0	-	-
3 Israel	0:0	-	-
4 Kosovo	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Sweden	0:0	-	-
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina	0:0	-	-
3 Romania	0:0	-	-
4 Poland	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Slovenia	0:0	-	-
2 North Macedonia	0:0	-	-
3 Scotland	0:0	-	-
4 Switzerland	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Ukraine	0:0	-	-
2 Georgia	0:0	-	-
3 Northern Ireland	0:0	-	-
4 Hungary	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League C - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Kazakhstan	0:0	-	-
2 Slovakia	0:0	-	-
3 Faroe Islands	0:0	-	-
4 Moldova	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Iceland	0:0	-	-
2 Bulgaria	0:0	-	-
3 Estonia	0:0	-	-
4 Luxembourg	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Cyprus	0:0	-	-
2 Armenia	0:0	-	-
3 Latvia	0:0	-	-
4 Montenegro	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Finland	0:0	-	-
2 Belarus	0:0	-	-
3 Albania	0:0	-	-
4 San Marino	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League A - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 France	0:0	-	-
2 Italy	0:0	-	-
3 Türkiye	0:0	-	-
4 Belgium	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Croatia	0:0	-	-
2 England	0:0	-	-
3 Spain	0:0	-	-
4 Czech Republic	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Greece	0:0	-	-
2 Germany	0:0	-	-
3 Netherlands	0:0	-	-
4 Serbia	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Norway	0:0	-	-
2 Denmark	0:0	-	-
3 Portugal	0:0	-	-
4 Wales	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Germany

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 18:30

United States

1-1

Germany

Friendly International

31/05/2026 18:45

Germany

1-0

Finland

Friendly International

30/03/2026 18:45

Germany

1-0

Ghana

Friendly International

27/03/2026 19:45

Switzerland

2-2

Germany

WC Qualification Europe

17/11/2025 19:45

Germany

4-0

Slovakia

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Germany

Final results

5 Win

0 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 18:30

United States

1-2

Germany

Friendly International

31/05/2026 18:45

Germany

4-0

Finland

Friendly International

30/03/2026 18:45

Germany

2-1

Ghana

Friendly International

27/03/2026 19:45

Switzerland

3-4

Germany

WC Qualification Europe

17/11/2025 19:45

Germany

6-0

Slovakia

Scored 18

Avg 3.6

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Italy

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

0-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-0

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-0

Italy

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 0

Avg 0.0

Italy

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

2-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-4

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-2

Italy

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Germany vs Italy: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

UEFA Nations League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Germany

Italy

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

10%

90%

10%

90%

2.5

30%

70%

50%

3.5

50%

60%

40%

4.5

80%

20%

70%

30%

Trends

Events

Team

Germany

Germany haven't lost in their last 8 matches in UEFA Nations League

8 / 8

Unbeaten

Germany

Germany have won their last 6 home matches

6 / 6

Wins

Germany

Germany haven't lost in their last 6 home matches

6 / 6

Unbeaten

Italy

Italy have won their last 4 away matches in UEFA Nations League

4 / 4

Wins

Germany

Germany haven't lost in 26 of their last 28 matches

26 / 28

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Germany and Italy will face each other on 23/03/2025 at 19:45 at Signal Iduna Park stadium (Dortmund). The match is part of UEFA Nations League. The referee for the match is Szymon Marciniak.

The probability of winning for Germany is 61%. The probability of a draw between Germany and Italy is 22%. The probability of winning for Italy is 18%

The probability of both teams scoring is 51%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 49%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 54%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 46%

In the last match on 06/06/2026, Germany defeated United States with a score of 1-2

In the last match on 03/06/2026, Italy defeated Luxembourg with a score of 0-1

In the last head-to-head on 20/03/2025, Germany defeated Italy away with a score of 1-2

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Germany has won 2 times, Italy has won 0 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Germany has scored an average of 2.7 goals per match, while Italy has scored an average of 1.3 goals per match.

Germany is currently in the 1th position in the UEFA Nations League league, while Italy is in the 2th position.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Germany has won 5 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 3 times. Germany has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Italy has won 4 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 2 times. Italy has scored an average of 2.13 goals per match and conceded 1.63 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Germany has won 5 times, lost 0 times and drawn 0 times. Germany has scored an average of 3.6 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Italy has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

Germany - Italy: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Germany vs Italy - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Germany and Italy in UEFA Nations League

Last Matches

Germany vs Italy: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Germany vs Italy: Frequently asked questions