What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Italy – Germany?

Over 2.5: 60%</br>Under 2.5: 40%

What is the BetMines prediction for Italy – Germany?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is +1.5, with a probability of 75%

Italy vs Germany: match statistics and data

9.3 °C

UEFA Nations League - Quarter-finals

Italy

1 - 2

Germany

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Match Stats

Italy

Germany

41 %

Ball Possession

59 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

309

Accurate Passes

463

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Italy

Germany

2nd half 1-2

90'

Robert Andrich

Pascal Groß

Davide Frattesi

Nicolò Barella

84'

Lorenzo Lucca

Moise Kean

83'

82'

Karim Adeyemi

Leroy Sané

76'

Leon Goretzka
1-2

Daniel Maldini

74'

Daniel Maldini

Giacomo Raspadori

71'

66'

Jamie Leweling

Nadiem Amiri

Raoul Bellanova

Matteo Politano

64'

Samuele Ricci

Nicolò Rovella

64'

55'

Nadiem Amiri

Nicolò Rovella

52'

49'

Tim Kleindienst
1-1

46'

Nico Schlotterbeck

David Raum

46'

Tim Kleindienst

Jonathan Burkardt

1st half 1-0

Sandro Tonali
1-0

Who will win ?

Italy vs Germany - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Italy and Germany in UEFA Nations League

League D - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Malta	0:0	-	-
2 TBC	0:0	-	-
3 Andorra	0:0	-	-
4 Gibraltar	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

League D - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Azerbaijan	0:0	-	-
2 Liechtenstein	0:0	-	-
3 Lithuania	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

League B - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Austria	0:0	-	-
2 Republic of Ireland	0:0	-	-
3 Israel	0:0	-	-
4 Kosovo	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Sweden	0:0	-	-
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina	0:0	-	-
3 Romania	0:0	-	-
4 Poland	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Slovenia	0:0	-	-
2 North Macedonia	0:0	-	-
3 Scotland	0:0	-	-
4 Switzerland	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Ukraine	0:0	-	-
2 Georgia	0:0	-	-
3 Northern Ireland	0:0	-	-
4 Hungary	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League C - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Kazakhstan	0:0	-	-
2 Slovakia	0:0	-	-
3 Faroe Islands	0:0	-	-
4 Moldova	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Iceland	0:0	-	-
2 Bulgaria	0:0	-	-
3 Estonia	0:0	-	-
4 Luxembourg	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Cyprus	0:0	-	-
2 Armenia	0:0	-	-
3 Latvia	0:0	-	-
4 Montenegro	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Finland	0:0	-	-
2 Belarus	0:0	-	-
3 Albania	0:0	-	-
4 San Marino	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League A - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 France	0:0	-	-
2 Italy	0:0	-	-
3 Türkiye	0:0	-	-
4 Belgium	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Croatia	0:0	-	-
2 England	0:0	-	-
3 Spain	0:0	-	-
4 Czech Republic	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Greece	0:0	-	-
2 Germany	0:0	-	-
3 Netherlands	0:0	-	-
4 Serbia	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Norway	0:0	-	-
2 Denmark	0:0	-	-
3 Portugal	0:0	-	-
4 Wales	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Italy

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

0-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-0

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-0

Italy

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 0

Avg 0.0

Italy

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

2-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-4

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-2

Italy

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Germany

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 18:30

United States

1-1

Germany

Friendly International

31/05/2026 18:45

Germany

1-0

Finland

Friendly International

30/03/2026 18:45

Germany

1-0

Ghana

Friendly International

27/03/2026 19:45

Switzerland

2-2

Germany

WC Qualification Europe

17/11/2025 19:45

Germany

4-0

Slovakia

Scored 9

Avg 1.8

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Germany

Final results

5 Win

0 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

06/06/2026 18:30

United States

1-2

Germany

Friendly International

31/05/2026 18:45

Germany

4-0

Finland

Friendly International

30/03/2026 18:45

Germany

2-1

Ghana

Friendly International

27/03/2026 19:45

Switzerland

3-4

Germany

WC Qualification Europe

17/11/2025 19:45

Germany

6-0

Slovakia

Scored 18

Avg 3.6

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Italy vs Germany: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

UEFA Nations League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Italy

Germany

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

10%

90%

10%

90%

2.5

50%

30%

70%

3.5

60%

40%

50%

4.5

70%

30%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

Germany

Germany haven't lost in in their last 14 away matches

14 / 14

Unbeaten

Germany

Germany haven't lost in their last 7 matches in UEFA Nations League

7 / 7

Unbeaten

Germany

Germany haven't lost in in their last 6 away matches in UEFA Nations League

6 / 6

Unbeaten

Germany

Germany haven't lost in 25 of their last 27 matches

25 / 27

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Italy and Germany will face each other on 20/03/2025 at 19:45 at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza stadium (Milan). The match is part of UEFA Nations League.

The probability of winning for Italy is 42%. The probability of a draw between Italy and Germany is 24%. The probability of winning for Germany is 35%

The probability of both teams scoring is 62%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 38%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 60%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 40%

In the last match on 03/06/2026, Italy defeated Luxembourg with a score of 0-1

In the last match on 06/06/2026, Germany defeated United States with a score of 1-2

In the last head-to-head on 14/06/2022, Germany defeated Italy at home with a score of 5-2

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Italy has won 0 times, Germany has won 1 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.5 goals per match, while Germany has scored an average of 3.0 goals per match.

Italy is currently in the 2th position in the UEFA Nations League league, while Germany is in the 1th position.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Italy has won 4 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 2 times. Italy has scored an average of 2.13 goals per match and conceded 1.63 goals.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Germany has won 5 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 3 times. Germany has scored an average of 2.4 goals per match and conceded 1.2 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Italy has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Germany has won 5 times, lost 0 times and drawn 0 times. Germany has scored an average of 3.6 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

Italy - Germany: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Italy vs Germany - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Italy and Germany in UEFA Nations League

Last Matches

Italy vs Germany: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Italy vs Germany: Frequently asked questions