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Italy - Türkiye: stats and betting predictions

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UEFA Nations League - League A

Italy

3 - 1

Türkiye

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Szymon Marciniak

Match Stats

Italy

Türkiye

45 %

Ball Possession

55 %

1.84

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

393

Accurate Passes

496

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Italy

Türkiye

2nd half 3-1

88'

Oğuz Aydın

Ferdi Kadıoğlu

88'

Deniz Gül

Yunus Akgün

Pio Esposito 3-1

Alessandro Romano

3-1

87'

Davide Frattesi

Antonio Vergara

84'

81'

Eren Elmalı

79'

Kerem Aktürkoğlu

İsmail Yüksek

Sandro Tonali

Nicolò Barella

70'

Bartuğ Elmaz

İrfan Can Kahveci

70'

İlhan Fakılı

Aral Şimşir

Riccardo Calafiori 2-1

Nicolò Barella

2-1

64'

61'

Aral Şimşir 1-1

Eren Elmalı

1-1

Riccardo Calafiori

Matteo Ruggeri

56'

Pio Esposito

Gianluca Scamacca

56'

Michael Kayode

Giovanni Di Lorenzo

55'

Zeki Çelik

Matteo Ruggeri

47'

1st half 1-0

Gianluca Scamacca

42'

Gianluca Scamacca 1-0

1-0

26'

Who will win ?

Italy vs Türkiye - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Italy and Türkiye in UEFA Nations League

League A - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 France	4	3	1	0	7:2	10	2.5	W W D W
2 Italy	4	2	1	1	8:5	7	1.75	L W D W
3 Belgium	4	2	0	2	6:5	6	1.5	W L W L
4 Türkiye	4	0	0	4	2:11	0	0	L L L L

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Italy

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/02/2026 6:45 PM

France

0-0

Italy

UEFA Nations League

09/28/2026 6:45 PM

Türkiye

0-3

Italy

UEFA Nations League

09/25/2026 6:45 PM

Italy

0-1

Belgium

Friendly International

06/07/2026 7:00 PM

Greece

0-1

Italy

Friendly International

06/03/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Italy

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/02/2026 6:45 PM

France

1-1

Italy

UEFA Nations League

09/28/2026 6:45 PM

Türkiye

1-4

Italy

UEFA Nations League

09/25/2026 6:45 PM

Italy

0-2

Belgium

Friendly International

06/07/2026 7:00 PM

Greece

0-1

Italy

Friendly International

06/03/2026 6:45 PM

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Türkiye

First half results

1 Win

1 Draw

3 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/02/2026 6:45 PM

Belgium

1-0

Türkiye

UEFA Nations League

09/28/2026 6:45 PM

Türkiye

0-3

Italy

UEFA Nations League

09/25/2026 6:45 PM

Türkiye

0-0

France

World Cup

06/26/2026 2:00 AM

Türkiye

2-1

United States

World Cup

06/20/2026 3:00 AM

Türkiye

0-1

Paraguay

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 6

Avg 1.2

Türkiye

Final results

1 Win

0 Draw

4 Loss

UEFA Nations League

10/02/2026 6:45 PM

Belgium

3-0

Türkiye

UEFA Nations League

09/28/2026 6:45 PM

Türkiye

1-4

Italy

UEFA Nations League

09/25/2026 6:45 PM

Türkiye

0-1

France

World Cup

06/26/2026 2:00 AM

Türkiye

3-2

United States

World Cup

06/20/2026 3:00 AM

Türkiye

0-1

Paraguay

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 11

Avg 2.2

Italy vs Türkiye: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

UEFA Nations League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Italy

Türkiye

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

100%

1.5

20%

80%

40%

60%

2.5

70%

30%

50%

3.5

80%

20%

70%

30%

4.5

80%

20%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

No trends...

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Alerts for this match

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Match preview

The probability of winning for Italy is 48%. The probability of a draw between Italy and Türkiye is 20%. The probability of winning for Türkiye is 32%

The probability of both teams scoring is 67%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 33%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 71%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 29%

In the last match on 10/02/2026, Italy drew with France with a score of 1-1

In the last match on 10/02/2026, Türkiye lost to Belgium with a score of 3-0

In the last head-to-head on 09/28/2026, Italy defeated Türkiye away with a score of 1-4

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy has won 3 times, Türkiye has won 0 times, and they have drawn 2 times. Italy has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match, while Türkiye has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Italy is currently in the 3th position in the UEFA Nations League league, while Türkiye is in the 4th position.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Italy has won 2 times, lost 1 times, and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 2 goals per match and conceded 1.25 goals.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Türkiye has won 0 times, lost 4 times, and drawn 0 times. Türkiye has scored an average of 0.5 goals per match and conceded 2.75 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Italy has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 0.8 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Türkiye has won 1 times, lost 4 times and drawn 0 times. Türkiye has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match and conceded 2.2 goals.

Italy vs Türkiye: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.

What are the 1X2 probabilities for Italy – Türkiye according to BetMines?

1: 48%
X: 20%
2: 32%

What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Italy – Türkiye?

Over 2.5: 71%
Under 2.5: 29%

What are the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) probabilities for Italy – Türkiye?

Yes: 67%
No: 33%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Italy – Türkiye?

1) 2-1 (9.24%)
2) 1-1 (7.8%)
3) 1-2 (7.15%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Italy – Türkiye?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 80%