What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Real Madrid – Olympique Marseille?

Over 2.5: 58%</br>Under 2.5: 42%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Real Madrid – Olympique Marseille?

1) 1-0 (9.77%)</br>2) 1-1 (9.74%)</br>3) 2-1 (9.61%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Real Madrid – Olympique Marseille?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Double chance market is 12, with a probability of 78%

Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille: match statistics and data

Match Stats

Real Madrid

Olympique Marseille

9

4

3

1

43 %

Ball Possession

57 %

4

5

2

0

28

Total Shots

15

Ongoal Shots

5

63

Dangerous Attacks

31

9

Fouls

14

344

Accurate Passes

455

0

Big Chances Created

0

Big Chances Missed

0

9

4

3

1

4

5

2

0

Match Data

Real Madrid

Olympique Marseille

2nd half 2-1

Álvaro Carreras

90'+7'

88'

CJ Egan-Riley

Benjamin Pavard

Kylian Mbappé
2-1

81'

78'

Amine Gouiri

Timothy Weah

78'

Amir Murillo

Emerson

75'

Facundo Medina

Raúl Asencio

Arda Güler

73'

Daniel Carvajal

72'

Daniel Carvajal

71'

67'

Arthur Vermeeren

Geoffrey Kondogbia

66'

Igor Paixão

Matt O'Riley

Brahim Díaz

Franco Mastantuono

63'

Vinicius Junior

Rodrygo

63'

Éder Militão

54'

46'

Benjamin Pavard

1st half 1-1

Aurélien Tchouaméni

35'

Kylian Mbappé
1-1

28'

22'

Timothy Weah
0-1

Daniel Carvajal

Trent Alexander-Arnold

5'

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille - Predictions

Odds

Last Matches

Real Madrid

First half results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

La Liga

05/17/2026 5:00 PM

Sevilla

0-1

Real Madrid

La Liga

05/14/2026 7:30 PM

Real Madrid

1-0

Real Oviedo

La Liga

05/10/2026 7:00 PM

FC Barcelona

2-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

05/03/2026 7:00 PM

Espanyol

0-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

04/24/2026 7:00 PM

Real Betis

0-1

Real Madrid

Scored 3

Avg 0.6

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Real Madrid

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

La Liga

05/17/2026 5:00 PM

Sevilla

0-1

Real Madrid

La Liga

05/14/2026 7:30 PM

Real Madrid

2-0

Real Oviedo

La Liga

05/10/2026 7:00 PM

FC Barcelona

2-0

Real Madrid

La Liga

05/03/2026 7:00 PM

Espanyol

0-2

Real Madrid

La Liga

04/24/2026 7:00 PM

Real Betis

1-1

Real Madrid

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Olympique Marseille

First half results

1 Win

3 Draw

1 Loss

Ligue 1

05/10/2026 7:00 PM

Le Havre

0-0

Olympique Marseille

Ligue 1

05/02/2026 1:00 PM

Nantes

0-0

Olympique Marseille

Ligue 1

04/26/2026 6:45 PM

Olympique Marseille

0-0

Nice

Ligue 1

04/18/2026 3:00 PM

Lorient

1-0

Olympique Marseille

Ligue 1

04/10/2026 7:05 PM

Olympique Marseille

1-0

Metz

Scored 1

Avg 0.2

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Olympique Marseille

Final results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

Ligue 1

05/10/2026 7:00 PM

Le Havre

0-1

Olympique Marseille

Ligue 1

05/02/2026 1:00 PM

Nantes

3-0

Olympique Marseille

Ligue 1

04/26/2026 6:45 PM

Olympique Marseille

1-1

Nice

Ligue 1

04/18/2026 3:00 PM

Lorient

2-0

Olympique Marseille

Ligue 1

04/10/2026 7:05 PM

Olympique Marseille

3-1

Metz

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 7

Avg 1.4

Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Champions League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Real Madrid

Olympique Marseille

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

10%

1

90%

9

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

60%

6

40%

4

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

90%

9

10%

1

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

100%

10

0%

0

Trends

Events

Team

Real Madrid

Real Madrid haven't lost in their last 10 home matches

10 / 10

Unbeaten

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have won their last 5 home matches

5 / 5

Wins

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have won their last 4 matches

4 / 4

Wins

Real Madrid

Real Madrid haven't lost in 12 of their last 13 matches

12 / 13

Unbeaten

Real Madrid

Real Madrid haven't lost in 17 of their last 19 home matches in Champions League

17 / 19

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Real Madrid and Olympique Marseille will face each other on 09/16/2025 at 7:00 PM at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu stadium (Madrid). The match is part of Champions League. The referee for the match is I. Peljto.

The probability of winning for Real Madrid is 55%. The probability of a draw between Real Madrid and Olympique Marseille is 22%. The probability of winning for Olympique Marseille is 23%

The probability of both teams scoring is 55%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 45%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 58%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 42%

In the last match on 05/17/2026, Real Madrid defeated Sevilla with a score of 0-1

In the last match on 05/10/2026, Olympique Marseille defeated Le Havre with a score of 0-1

In the last head-to-head on 12/08/2009, Real Madrid defeated Olympique Marseille away with a score of 1-3

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid has won 4 times, Olympique Marseille has won 0 times, and they have drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 3.0 goals per match, while Olympique Marseille has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match.

Real Madrid is currently in the 10th position in the Champions League league, while Olympique Marseille is in the 4th position.

In this season of Champions League, Real Madrid has won 9 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 0 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 2.36 goals per match and conceded 1.43 goals.

In this season of Champions League, Olympique Marseille has won 3 times, lost 5 times, and drawn 0 times. Olympique Marseille has scored an average of 1.38 goals per match and conceded 1.75 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Real Madrid has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Real Madrid has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 0.6 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Olympique Marseille has won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. Olympique Marseille has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match and conceded 1.4 goals.

Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Real Madrid and Olympique Marseille in Champions League

Last Matches

Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Real Madrid vs Olympique Marseille: Frequently asked questions