What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Spain – Italy?

Over 2.5: 49%</br>Under 2.5: 51%

What is the BetMines prediction for Spain – Italy?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 73%

Spain vs Italy: match statistics and data

19.1 °C

UEFA Nations League - Semi-finals

Spain

2 - 1

Italy

De Grolsch Veste

Slavko Vinčić

Match Stats

Spain

Italy

62 %

Ball Possession

38 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

570

Accurate Passes

307

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Spain

Italy

2nd half 2-1

90'+3'

Nicolò Zaniolo

Joselu
2-1

88'

Joselu

Álvaro Morata

84'

Álvaro Morata

83'

76'

Marco Verratti

Davide Frattesi

Fabián Ruiz

Mikel Merino

74'

Ansu Fati

Yéremy Pino

74'

Sergio Canales

Gavi

68'

61'

Bryan Cristante

Jorginho

60'

F. Chiesa

Ciro Immobile

Gavi

57'

46'

Federico Dimarco

Leonardo Spinazzola

Marco Asensio

Rodrigo

46'

Matteo Darmian

L. Bonucci

1st half 1-1

Jordi Alba

45'+1'

38'

Ciro Immobile

22'

Goal Disallowed

11'

Ciro Immobile
1-1

Yéremy Pino
1-0

Who will win ?

Spain vs Italy - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Spain and Italy in UEFA Nations League

League D - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Malta	0:0	-	-
2 TBC	0:0	-	-
3 Andorra	0:0	-	-
4 Gibraltar	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

League D - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Azerbaijan	0:0	-	-
2 Liechtenstein	0:0	-	-
3 Lithuania	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

League B - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Austria	0:0	-	-
2 Republic of Ireland	0:0	-	-
3 Israel	0:0	-	-
4 Kosovo	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Sweden	0:0	-	-
2 Bosnia and Herzegovina	0:0	-	-
3 Romania	0:0	-	-
4 Poland	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Slovenia	0:0	-	-
2 North Macedonia	0:0	-	-
3 Scotland	0:0	-	-
4 Switzerland	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League B - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Ukraine	0:0	-	-
2 Georgia	0:0	-	-
3 Northern Ireland	0:0	-	-
4 Hungary	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League C - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Kazakhstan	0:0	-	-
2 Slovakia	0:0	-	-
3 Faroe Islands	0:0	-	-
4 Moldova	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Iceland	0:0	-	-
2 Bulgaria	0:0	-	-
3 Estonia	0:0	-	-
4 Luxembourg	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Cyprus	0:0	-	-
2 Armenia	0:0	-	-
3 Latvia	0:0	-	-
4 Montenegro	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League C - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 Finland	0:0	-	-
2 Belarus	0:0	-	-
3 Albania	0:0	-	-
4 San Marino	0:0	-	-

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

League A - Group 1 - Ranking

Team
1 France	0:0	-	-
2 Italy	0:0	-	-
3 Türkiye	0:0	-	-
4 Belgium	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 3 - Ranking

Team
1 Croatia	0:0	-	-
2 England	0:0	-	-
3 Spain	0:0	-	-
4 Czech Republic	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 2 - Ranking

Team
1 Greece	0:0	-	-
2 Germany	0:0	-	-
3 Netherlands	0:0	-	-
4 Serbia	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

League A - Group 4 - Ranking

Team
1 Norway	0:0	-	-
2 Denmark	0:0	-	-
3 Portugal	0:0	-	-
4 Wales	0:0	-	-

Play-offs

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

Last Matches

Spain

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

World Cup

15/06/2026 16:00

Spain

0-0

Cape Verde Islands

Friendly International

09/06/2026 02:00

Peru

0-2

Spain

Friendly International

04/06/2026 19:00

Spain

1-1

Iraq

Friendly International

31/03/2026 19:00

Spain

0-0

Egypt

Friendly International

27/03/2026 20:00

Spain

2-0

Serbia

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Spain

Final results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

World Cup

15/06/2026 16:00

Spain

0-0

Cape Verde Islands

Friendly International

09/06/2026 02:00

Peru

1-3

Spain

Friendly International

04/06/2026 19:00

Spain

1-1

Iraq

Friendly International

31/03/2026 19:00

Spain

0-0

Egypt

Friendly International

27/03/2026 20:00

Spain

3-0

Serbia

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 2

Avg 0.4

Italy

First half results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-0

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

0-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-0

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-0

Italy

Scored 2

Avg 0.4

Conceded 0

Avg 0.0

Italy

Final results

3 Win

1 Draw

1 Loss

Friendly International

03/06/2026 18:45

Luxembourg

0-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

31/03/2026 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1-1

Italy

WC Qualification Europe

26/03/2026 19:45

Italy

2-0

Northern Ireland

WC Qualification Europe

16/11/2025 19:45

Italy

1-4

Norway

WC Qualification Europe

13/11/2025 19:45

Moldova

0-2

Italy

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 5

Avg 1.0

Spain vs Italy: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

UEFA Nations League

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Spain

Italy

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

20%

80%

100%

1.5

20%

80%

10%

90%

2.5

40%

60%

50%

3.5

50%

60%

40%

4.5

90%

10%

70%

30%

Trends

Events

Team

Italy

Italy haven't lost in 12 of their last 13 away matches

12 / 13

Unbeaten

Italy

Italy haven't lost in 27 of their last 31 matches

27 / 31

Unbeaten

Spain

Spain haven't lost in 13 of their last 15 home matches

13 / 15

Unbeaten

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Spain and Italy will face each other on 15/06/2023 at 18:45 at De Grolsch Veste stadium (Enschede). The match is part of UEFA Nations League. The referee for the match is Slavko Vinčić.

The probability of winning for Spain is 43%. The probability of a draw between Spain and Italy is 26%. The probability of winning for Italy is 31%

The probability of both teams scoring is 53%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 47%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 49%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 51%

In the last match on 15/06/2026, Spain drew with Cape Verde Islands with a score of 0-0

In the last match on 03/06/2026, Italy defeated Luxembourg with a score of 0-1

In the last head-to-head on 06/10/2021, Spain defeated Italy away with a score of 1-2

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Spain has won 2 times, Italy has won 0 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Spain has scored an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Italy has scored an average of 0.7 goals per match.

Spain is currently in the 1th position in the UEFA Nations League league, while Italy is in the 1th position.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Spain has won 4 times, lost 1 times, and drawn 3 times. Spain has scored an average of 1.25 goals per match and conceded 0.75 goals.

In this season of UEFA Nations League, Italy has won 4 times, lost 2 times, and drawn 2 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.5 goals per match and conceded 1.38 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Spain has won 2 times, lost 0 times and drawn 3 times. Spain has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 0.4 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Italy has won 3 times, lost 1 times and drawn 1 times. Italy has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.0 goals.

Spain - Italy: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Spain vs Italy - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Spain and Italy in UEFA Nations League

Last Matches

Spain vs Italy: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Spain vs Italy: Frequently asked questions