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Prediction published on May 23, 2025 4:01 PM by Dario in England - League Two | Modified on May 25, 2025 12:31 PM
At the iconic Wembley Stadium on Monday, May 26, AFC Wimbledon and Walsall face off in the League Two Playoff Final, battling for promotion to League One, the third tier of English football. The two sides earned this opportunity after finishing the regular season in fifth and fourth place with 73 and 77 points respectively, and successfully navigating their playoff semi-finals against Notts County and Chesterfield. Wimbledon stood out during the season for its outstanding defensive solidity, boasting the best backline in the league. However, they missed out on automatic promotion due to a dip in form from March onward, alternating strong performances with less convincing ones, ultimately finishing five points behind third-placed Bradford City. Walsall, on the other hand, came very close to securing a top-three spot, ending the season just one point behind Bradford in fourth. Mat Sadler’s team built its campaign on attacking prowess, recording the most goals scored throughout the season. However, a winless streak from March to April, spanning thirteen games, proved costly in the final standings. Now, there’s no room for regrets — this playoff final is a golden opportunity for both clubs. If the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes, extra time and potentially penalties will decide the winner. Victory would mark a historic achievement, securing a place in League One.
AFC Wimbledon come into this match on the back of three consecutive 1-0 victories: two in the playoff semi-finals against Notts County (goals by Harbottle and Neufville), and one in the final League Two matchday against Grimsby. That means they’ve kept three clean sheets in a row heading into the final.
Johnnie Jackson’s side finished fifth in League Two with 73 points, recording 20 wins, 13 draws, and 13 losses. They had the league’s best defense, conceding just 35 goals in 46 matches (0.76 goals per game). Offensively, however, they were the lowest-scoring team among the top nine, with 56 goals (1.22 per match). Their top scorer this season has been Mathew Stevens with 17 goals.
Walsall also come into this match riding a wave of momentum, with three straight wins: 0-1 against Crewe on the final League Two matchday, followed by 0-2 and 2-1 wins over Chesterfield in the playoffs. These results put an end to a 13-match winless run dating back to early March, which included five losses and eight draws.
The Saddlers finished fourth with 77 points, tallying 21 wins, 14 draws, and 11 defeats. They had the most potent attack in League Two, scoring 75 goals (1.63 per match) — better than even the three automatically promoted teams. However, defensively, they were less solid, conceding 54 goals (1.17 per game).
Being a single-leg final at a neutral venue like Wembley, neither side will benefit from home advantage. This might slightly favor Walsall, who picked up 35 points on the road (9 wins, 8 draws, 6 losses), compared to Wimbledon’s 29 (7 wins, 8 draws, 8 losses).
Looking at away stats, AFC Wimbledon averaged 0.91 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per away game, while Walsall averaged 1.26 scored and 0.96 conceded. In the two head-to-head matches this season between Jackson’s and Sadler’s squads, there was a 1-1 draw in March and a 1-0 Walsall win earlier in the season.
Considering both sides finished just four points apart in the league, this is expected to be a closely contested and intense match, especially with League One promotion on the line. The balance between the league's best defense and best attack only adds to the suspense.
As for our AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall prediction, BetMines’ algorithm slightly favors Sadler’s team due to their better head-to-head record, superior attacking output, and higher league finish.
AFC WIMBLEDON (3-5-2): Goodman; Harbottle, Lewis, Johnson; Tilley, Smith, Reeves, Hippolyte, Neufville; Browne, Stevens. Manager: Johnnie Jackson
WALSALL (3-4-2-1): Simkin; Okagbue, Williams, Allen; Asiimwe, Chang, Stirk, Gordon; Hall, Jellis; Matt. Manager: Mathew John Sadler
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AFC Wimbledon
Walsall
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
4
6
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
8
2
7
3
4.5
9
1
10
0