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AZ Alkmaar
4:45 PM
August 29, 2026
Go Ahead Eagles
Prediction published on Aug 27, 2026 5:09 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Aug 27, 2026 5:09 PM
The top two sides in the early Eredivisie standings meet on August 29, 2026, when AZ Alkmaar host Go Ahead Eagles at the AFAS Stadion. Kick-off in Alkmaar is scheduled for 16:45 local time. Both teams remain unbeaten after three league matches, giving this fourth-round fixture an intriguing competitive edge. AZ have collected maximum points and sit first, while Go Ahead Eagles are second after recording two victories and one draw. The hosts have combined an efficient attack with a particularly strong defensive record, but the visitors also arrive in excellent scoring form. With AZ looking to protect their perfect start and Go Ahead Eagles attempting to close the gap at the top, this Eredivisie match brings together two confident teams.
AZ Alkmaar have opened their Eredivisie campaign with three consecutive victories. They defeated Fortuna Sittard 2-0, FC Utrecht 4-1 and ADO Den Haag 2-0, scoring eight league goals while conceding only once. Their season averages stand at 2.7 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match, highlighting the balance behind their perfect record.
The wider sequence is equally impressive. AZ have won each of their last five matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded across that run. Before the league campaign began, they also recorded a 4-0 victory over PSV Eindhoven in the Johan Cruijff Schaal. Their most recent result was the 2-0 away win against Fortuna Sittard on August 22.
Home form provides another important reason for confidence. AZ have avoided defeat in 20 of their last 21 home matches, while scoring at least once in each of their previous 18 home fixtures. That scoring run includes at least one AZ goal in their last 13 Eredivisie home games and two or more goals scored by the club in each of their last 12 home matches.
AZ are expected to seek control through possession and an assertive approach in the opposition half. The hosts have previously used high pressure against opposing defensive lines, with Jizz Hornkamp among the players involved in their attacking play. Their recent numbers suggest that this ambition has not come at the expense of defensive security.
Go Ahead Eagles also travel to Alkmaar with an unbeaten league record. Their opening three Eredivisie matches produced two wins and one draw, with victories over ADO Den Haag and Willem II following a 2-2 draw against Feyenoord. The Eagles most recently beat ADO Den Haag 3-1 on August 23, while their other victory in this sequence was a 4-1 result against Willem II.
The visitors have scored an average of 3.0 goals per league match this season, alongside an average of 1.3 goals conceded. Across their last five matches in all listed results, they have accumulated four wins and one draw, scoring 2.8 goals per game and allowing 0.8. Those figures underline why AZ cannot treat the second-placed side lightly, even with home advantage and a perfect start behind them.
Go Ahead Eagles have demonstrated considerable attacking strength, particularly in their 3-1 and 4-1 victories. However, the draw with Feyenoord also showed that their defensive unit can be tested by a productive attack. Their away trend at the interval is another potential concern, as they have been behind at half-time in each of their last three Eredivisie away matches.
The visitors may therefore need a more cautious approach than the one used in their latest victory. Building play from the back and managing AZ's early pressure could be particularly important. Avoiding another difficult first half would give Go Ahead Eagles a better opportunity to use the scoring ability that has driven their strong opening to the campaign.
This contest features two of the Eredivisie's most productive teams at the start of the season. AZ's three league wins have been based on scoring regularly while conceding just 0.3 goals per match. Go Ahead Eagles, meanwhile, have a slightly higher scoring average of 3.0 but have also conceded 1.3 per game. The contrast indicates that defensive reliability may be the factor separating the sides.
The historical summary also favors the hosts without pointing to complete dominance. Across the listed head-to-head record, AZ have one win and four draws without a defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The most recent meeting finished 0-0 on April 23, 2026, illustrating that Go Ahead Eagles have previously been able to restrict AZ.
Even so, several current indicators strengthen the home side's case. AZ have not lost in 20 of their last 21 home matches, have scored in 18 consecutive home games and have produced at least two goals themselves in their previous 12 home fixtures. At least two total goals have also been recorded in each of AZ's last 17 home matches and in their last 10 Eredivisie home games.
The opening period may shape the match. AZ have avoided a half-time deficit in 20 of their last 22 matches overall, whereas Go Ahead Eagles have trailed at the break in three successive league away fixtures. There has also been at least one second-half goal in 27 of AZ's previous 30 matches, so the contest should retain scoring potential even if the visitors negotiate the early stages successfully.
Go Ahead Eagles' unbeaten form and attacking output make them a credible challenge, but AZ enter with the stronger combination of home consistency, defensive numbers and league results. The supplied win probabilities give AZ Alkmaar 63%, compared with 23% for the draw and 14% for a Go Ahead Eagles victory. That assessment fits a match in which the visitors can compete, although the hosts' ability to control games at both ends makes them the more convincing side.
AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction from BetMines: AZ Alkmaar win (1) with 63% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AZ Alkmaar
Go Ahead Eagles
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
1
9
2.5
4
6
1
9
3.5
4
6
4
6
4.5
6
4
7
3