Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen Prediction: Betting Tips, Match Preview & Analysis - Bundesliga

The 21st round of the Bundesliga kicks off with league leaders Bayern Munich hosting Werder Bremen at the Allianz Arena. After surrendering the title to Bayer Leverkusen last season, Bayern Munich appears to have no real rivals this year as they march towards their 34th Bundesliga title. The Bavarians currently hold a six-point lead over Bayer Leverkusen and come into this fixture on a streak of six consecutive Bundesliga victories. In their last match, Bayern defeated Kiel 4-3, though they conceded three goals after going up 4-0. Kompany's squad showed signs of fatigue, having played and won an important Champions League clash against Slovan Bratislava just days earlier. On the other hand, Werder Bremen, after a win against Mainz, is now only three points behind fourth-place RB Leipzig. Ole Werner's side is fighting for a return to European competitions, a feat they haven't achieved since the 2010/11 season. However, they are fully aware that earning points against this Bayern Munich side will require an extraordinary performance.

Bayern Munich's shape and key statistics

Bayern Munich's victory over Kiel marked their 16th win of the Bundesliga season. They sit at the top of the table with 51 points, boasting both the best attack (62 goals scored) and best defense (19 goals conceded). This equates to an average of 3.1 goals scored per game, while conceding less than one per match.

Two Bayern players have already hit double figures in goals: Harry Kane (19 goals) and Jamal Musiala (10 goals).

The Bavarians remain unbeaten at home in the Bundesliga, with their only defeat this season coming in the DFB Pokal against Bayer Leverkusen on December 3rd. Bayern has struggled following midweek European fixtures, as shown by their only Bundesliga defeat to Mainz, which came shortly after a Champions League win against Shakhtar Donetsk. However, this time they have had a full week to prepare for the Werder Bremen match, which could make a significant difference. 

Werder Bremen's shape and key statistics

Werder Bremen’s last five matches have resulted in one win, two losses, and two draws, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game but conceding 2.2 goals per match. Defensive issues have been a major problem, as they currently possess the fifth-worst defense in the Bundesliga.

Their away record has been relatively decent, with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses—a better performance than at home. Their most recent away victory came on December 14th, when they defeated St. Pauli 2-0.

Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen Prediction and Tactical Overview

A quick glance at Bayern Munich’s form in the Bundesliga suggests that Werder Bremen has very little chance of taking points from this fixture. Kompany’s team seems more determined than ever to reclaim the title after last season’s setback.

Despite Werder Bremen’s solid away performances, this match presents a different challenge. Bayern has conceded only 9 goals in 10 home games while scoring 34, making it highly likely that they will exploit Werder Bremen’s defensive fragility to secure an early victory. Bayern will also aim to wrap up the match quickly to focus on their upcoming Champions League playoff match against Celtic on Thursday, February 12.

Based on these statistics, Bet Mines’ prediction algorithm sees a high probability for Over 2.5 goals in this match. 

• The BetMines prediction for the  Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen match predicts Over 2.5 goals at 77%
• The BetMines prediction for the Bayern Munich - Werder Bremen match predicts Under 2.5 goals at 23%

Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen Predicted Lineups

Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Laimer, Upamecano, Min-jae, Guerreiro; Kimmich, Pavlovic; Olise, Musiala, Coman; Kane. Coach: Kompany

Werder Bremen (3-5-2): Zetterer; Stark, Friedl, Jung; Weiser, Bittencourt, Lynen, Schmid, Kabore; Njinmah, Ducksch. Coach: Werner