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Prediction published on Sep 30, 2025 3:26 PM by Dario in Europe - Europa League | Modified on Sep 30, 2025 4:34 PM
At Celtic Park in Glasgow, on Thursday, October 2, Brendan Rodgers’ Celtic host Braga in the second round of the UEFA Europa League group stage. The home side need a win after drawing 1-1 away at Red Star Belgrade, while the visitors are looking for their second consecutive victory following their 1-0 success against Feyenoord. Celtic have not always been convincing in this early part of the season, but they remain unbeaten in 19 matches across all competitions and therefore come into this clash as clear favorites. The Portuguese side, meanwhile, have been underperforming domestically, sitting seventh in Liga Portugal after seven rounds. Things have gone better in the Europa League, however, and Carlos Vicens’ men can still realistically aim for direct qualification to the Round of 16, provided they manage the tough task of winning in Glasgow. Given what’s at stake for both teams, this should be a tense and hard-fought encounter.
Celtic, currently second in the Scottish Premiership just two points behind Hearts, come into this match after two consecutive draws: 1-1 against Red Star Belgrade in their Europa League opener and 0-0 at home against Hibernian in their last league outing.
The Bhoys’ recent record is positive: 2 wins and 3 draws in their last five games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per match. Their defensive solidity has been their main strength, with seven clean sheets in their last ten matches. The attack, while still finding the net regularly, has looked less explosive compared to last season.
Playing at Celtic Park is never easy for any team. The Celts are unbeaten in their last nine home matches across all competitions and have won five of their last six Europa League fixtures at home.
After defeating Feyenoord 1-0 in their opening Europa League fixture, Braga failed to carry that momentum into the domestic league, losing 0-1 at home to Nacional and dropping further behind the upper mid-table positions.
Their recent form is far from encouraging: just 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five games, averaging only 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a team that doesn’t score much, but also doesn’t concede heavily. Indeed, each of their last four matches ended with under 3 total goals.
Braga have, however, been strong away from home. They are unbeaten in their last six away matches, with 3 wins and 3 draws, and managed to keep a clean sheet in half of those games. That makes them a tricky opponent for the Scottish champions.
The prediction for Celtic vs Braga, valid for Matchday 2 of the Europa League, leans strongly towards a home victory, with the Glaswegians determined to earn three points that could be decisive in their pursuit of qualification for the knockout stage.
Brendan Rodgers’ side not only benefit from playing in front of their fans, but also from a favorable historical record against Portuguese teams in Europe. The Celts have recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats against clubs from Portugal.
The last time these two sides met was back in 2010: Celtic won 2-1 in Glasgow, while Braga won 3-0 at home in the return leg—although this time, the tie is decided in a single group-stage match.
Two more statistical elements support BetMines’ prediction of a Celtic win: Braga have conceded at least one goal in each of their last seven Europa League away games, and they have managed just two wins in their last ten away group-stage matches in the competition.
CELTIC (4-3-3): Schmeichel; Donovan, Carter-Vickers, Scales, Tierney; Nygren, McGregor, McCowan; Maeda, Iheanacho, Tounekti. Coach: Brendan Rodgers.
BRAGA (4-4-2): Hornicek; Gomez, Lagerbielke, Niakate, Lelo; Gorby, Moutinho, Zalazar Martinez, Horta; El Ouazzani, Navarro. Coach: Jordi Lie.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celtic
Sporting Braga
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
2
8
4
6
3.5
4
6
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1