Predictions
Top Leagues
Feb 23, 2025
The midweek round of the Premier League could be highly advantageous for Chelsea, as they host bottom-of-the-table Southampton at Stamford Bridge. This match presents a golden opportunity for the Blues to climb into the top four at the end of this 27th gameweek. Facing the Premier League's last-placed team, with just 9 points in 26 matches, is a must-win scenario for Chelsea as they push for a Champions League qualification spot. Enzo Maresca’s squad, having suffered back-to-back defeats in their last two games, has a rare chance to overtake several competitors, as other top-four contenders face tough fixtures. Bournemouth, Newcastle, and Manchester City will all play away against Brighton, Liverpool, and Tottenham, respectively. Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest, currently four points ahead of Chelsea, will face a challenging test against Arsenal. On paper, Southampton doesn’t pose a significant threat. The Saints have lost 21 out of 26 league games and seem destined for relegation after just one season back in the top flight.
Chelsea’s recent form has been far from impressive, with four defeats and just one win in their last five matches. However, thanks to inconsistent results from their rivals, the Blues remain in contention for a European spot despite this poor run.
At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea’s performance has been considerably better: 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Notably, one of those defeats came in the season opener against Manchester City. The Blues also boast a home average of 1.83 goals per game.
A dismal season for Southampton is reflected in their 9 points from 26 matches (21 defeats, 2 wins, and 3 draws). Juric’s squad is already 13 points away from safety, making relegation almost inevitable.
Key stats highlight their struggles: worst attack in the Premier League (19 goals scored) and Worst defense in the league (61 goals conceded). Last 10 matches: 8 defeats, 1 draw, and just 1 win (a 2-1 victory against Ipswich).
Chelsea are unlikely to let this opportunity slip. Victory is the only option for Maresca’s side as they aim to bounce back from recent losses and cement their place in the top four.
With Palmer, Sancho, and Nkunku leading the attack, Chelsea will be determined to secure the three points—just as they did in the reverse fixture, where they won 5-1 away.
Given these factors, BetMines' algorithm strongly favors Chelsea’s victory.
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Jorgensen; James, Tosin, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Neto, Palmer, Sancho; Nkunku. Coach: Maresca.
Southampton (3-4-1-2): Ramsdale; Bree, Bednarek, Stephens; Sugawara, Aribo, Ugochukwu, Walker-Peters; Fernandes; Sulemana, Onuachu. Coach: Juric.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Southampton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
1
9
2.5
2
8
1
9
3.5
7
3
3
7
4.5
10
0
9
1