Tools
Prediction published on Jan 2, 2025 9:45 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Jan 2, 2025 10:15 PM
Until less than a month ago, despite always having declared different objectives, Fiorentina and Napoli were tied in the standings, then a bit of a purple decline combined with the cynical continuity of Naples, has determined the gap of 9 points that currently separates the two teams in the standings but that does not change the interest in this central match in the dynamics of the last round of the championship, both for the fight for the Scudetto and for the Champions League. Fiorentina then, despite this slowdown, is coming off a smile, namely the point collected in extremis in Turin against Juve, a point that boosts morale while Napoli, winning with more difficulty than expected against Venezia, taking advantage of the Arabian stop of Atalanta and Inter, engaged in the Super Cup, plays to conquer the solitary top of the championship and put a bit more pressure on their rivals when they return.
With only Edoardo Bove out, Palladino can best prepare for this important match that Viola is about to play after 4 games, between Serie A and Conference League, without success.
However, Fiorentina presents itself at the last act of the first half of the season (always with a match to recover) with an important record: 9 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats which makes a total, however, very similar to that collected by the team coached last year by Vincenzo Italiano after the same number of games (only 1 point more).
It is therefore right to combine this year's Viola with that of last year to underline how, before the last home round, Fiorentina, in Serie A, was unbeaten at home for 11 games, a streak interrupted however on the last occasion, with the 1 -2 defeat suffered against Udinese on December 23 at the Franchi that Palladino's gang wants to prove was just an episode.
Lazio may not be the anti-Napoli, as they are perhaps too far behind in the standings, but for the Neapolitans, before and after the double clash with Baroni's team there were only victories, as if to say that, Lazio aside, the Azzurri almost always win.
In reality, some other setbacks have arrived because Napoli, for now, has 13 victories, 3 draws and 2 defeats in its championship path with a defense that is however the least beaten of all: only 12 goals conceded in 18 matches or 0.67 goals conceded per match.
Given that it is worth underlining is that, for Napoli, points in hand there is practically no difference between home and away where, the team, has won 5 of the last 6 and, initial debacle in Verona aside, away from the Maradona, has slowed down only in the draws at home of two great teams like Juventus and Inter.
In recent years, Fiorentina, at home against Napoli, has always struggled a bit with the Viola victory that has been missing for almost 7 years (April 2018, the famous 3-0 that marked the fatal stop for the Scudetto dreams of Maurizio Sarri's Napoli). Sottil's left-footed shot against Juve did indeed avoid the third KO in a row but it did not arrive at the end of an excellent match, therefore, a Napoli that is hermetic for now, who away from home still plays with the same tranquility as at the Maradona, seems slightly favored in this match that remains uncertain but which sees Conte's team start in front. BetMines' prediction follows this path and indicates in Napoli's victory, the safest one.
BetMines algorithm prediction for the Fiorentina - Napoli match predicts the 2 at 47%
BetMines algorithm prediction for the Fiorentina - Napoli match predicts the X at 25%
BetMines algorithm prediction for the Fiorentina - Napoli match predicts the 1 at 28%
Fiorentina (4-2-3-1): De Gea; Dodo, Comuzzo, Ranieri, Gosens; Adli, Cataldi; Colpani, Gudmundsson, Sottil; Kean. Coach: Palladino
Napoli (4-3-3): Meret; Di Lorenzo, Rrahmani, Juan Jesus, Olivera; Anguissa, Lobotka, McTominay; Neres, Lukaku, Kvaratskhelia. Coach: Conte
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Napoli
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
3
7
2.5
7
3
5
5
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1